- The Reds are -170 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies vs Reds Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Rockies / Reds TV Channel: RDTV | ROTV | ESUN
The Colorado Rockies (+140) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-170) on April 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 12:40 pm in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Rockies are 14-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 19-11 ATS.
Rockies vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rockies starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 2-2, 5.83 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 0-2, 6.68 ERA
Rockies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -150 | O 9 -115 | +140 |
| Reds | -1.5 +125 | U 9 -105 | -170 |
Rockies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+12.10 Units / 49% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 away games (+11.05 Units / 158% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- T.J. Rumfield has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+6.25 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+15.70 Units / 314% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.55 Units / 45% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+8.70 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 away games (+7.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+7.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+5.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 27% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 20-11 against the Run Line (+7.8 Units / 20.63% ROI).
- 14-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 21.13% ROI
- 12-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.1 Units / -26.49% ROI
- 19-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.85 Units / 17.28% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 19-11 against the Run Line (+4.95 Units / 10.84% ROI).
- 19-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.3 Units / 24.59% ROI
- 18-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.9 Units / 17.91% ROI
- 11-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.85 Units / -26.78% ROI
Reds vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Hunter Goodman | +240 |
| Sal Stewart | +280 |
| Elly De La Cruz | +340 |
| JJ Bleday | +360 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | +400 |
Reds vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt McLain | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jordan Beck | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Reds vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt McLain | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ezequiel Tovar | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Willi Castro | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Rockies are just 57-136 (.295) since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 25-74 (.253) on the road since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .459.
The Rockies are just 53-110 (.325) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Rockies are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Reds are 3-11 (.214) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .058.
The Reds are 3-11 (.214) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .108.
The Reds are 4-8 (.333) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .146.
The Reds are just 10-59 (.145) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .270 (3,584 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .609 (3,584 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Rockies hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against RHP since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Rockies hitters have a swing rate of 51% against RHP since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 40% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .285 (32 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .281 (509 PA’s) with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.
The Reds are batting just .190 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.69 (1680.2 IP) since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% in the first 5 innings since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 57% this season — lowest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Reds pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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