- The Reds are -175 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber
- Reds starting pitcher: Brandon Williamson
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Colorado Rockies (+145) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-175) on Monday, June 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Reds are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Rockies vs Reds Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 29-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 44-28 ATS.
Rockies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -125 | O 10.5 -110 | +145 |
| Reds | -1.5 +105 | U 10.5 -110 | -175 |
Rockies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 73.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+13.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+12.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- Mike Moustakas has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+12.15 Units / 101% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+11.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.50 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 20 games at home (+17.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 26 games (+15.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 41 games (+13.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+13.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+13.20 Units / 52% ROI)
Reds vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
Reds vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Coco Montes | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Reds vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Reds vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Williamson | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
| Austin Gomber | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 62 games (+9.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 62 games (+6.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 55 games (+6.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 55 games (+5.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 51 games (+3.35 Units / 6% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (+16.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 71 games (+14.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+13.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 65 games (+8.70 Units / 12% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 34-40 against the Run Line (-9 Units / -10.4% ROI).
- 29-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -8.12% ROI
- 32-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.25 Units / -17.35% ROI
- 42-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.5 Units / 9.29% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 44-28 against the Run Line (+13.75 Units / 14.91% ROI).
- 37-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.55 Units / 12.43% ROI
- 41-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.45 Units / 9.47% ROI
- 31-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.1 Units / -17.67% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has allowed an OPS of 1.028 (191 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: .727 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 38% (35/92) against Austin Gomber on elevated fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Austin Gomber has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 49% (85/174) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed an OBP of .420 (193 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .313 — first Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Williamson has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (235/501) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .118 (4 GB hits out of 34 GBs) against Brandon Williamson this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 98th Percentile.
Brandon Williamson has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to June 2nd — Aaron Nola has the longest active streak at 11.
Brandon Williamson has located his fastball inside 47% of the time (75/158) this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 95th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Rockies are just 48-42 (.533) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Rockies are just 19-8 (.704) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Rockies are just 33-16 (.673) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Rockies are just 64-31 (.674) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .798.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Reds are just 26-23 (.531) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Reds are 15-6 (.714) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Reds are just 19-45 (.297) after a road loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .449.
The Reds are 25-1 (.962) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .895.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.8 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.6.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of .343 (4,412 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Rockies have won just 49% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 26% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Reds hitters are slugging just .373 against RHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Reds have barrels in 3% of PA’s since last season (231/8,697) — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 74 of 643 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Reds pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .303 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Reds pitchers have walked 875 of 9,034 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Calf, D15
- William Myers (Reds): Kidney Stones, D10
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Derek Law (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Heel, D10
- Charles Blackmon (Rockies): Hand, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
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