- The Reds are -190 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Noah Davis
- Reds starting pitcher: Edward Lively
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Colorado Rockies (+160) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-190) on Tuesday, June 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Reds are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Rockies vs Reds Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 29-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 44-29 ATS.
Rockies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Rockies | +1.5 -115 | O 10.5 -115 | +160 |
Reds | -1.5 -105 | U 10.5 -105 | -190 |
Rockies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 73.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+14.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+12.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+11.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+11.05 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 21 games at home (+18.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 42 games (+14.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 27 games (+13.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 32 games (+12.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+12.30 Units / 34% ROI)
Reds vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
TJ Friedl | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Jonathan India | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Jorge Alfaro | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Reds vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
TJ Friedl | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Jurickson Profar | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
Jonathan India | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Jorge Alfaro | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Reds vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
TJ Friedl | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Jonathan India | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Jorge Alfaro | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Reds vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Ben Lively | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Davis | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 63 games (+10.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 63 games (+7.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 56 games (+5.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 56 games (+4.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 47 games (+3.85 Units / 7% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 51 games (+17.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 72 games (+13.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+12.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games (+10.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+7.65 Units / 11% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 35-40 against the Run Line (-8 Units / -9.11% ROI).
- 29-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.25 Units / -9.29% ROI
- 32-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.3 Units / -18.39% ROI
- 43-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.5 Units / 10.38% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 44-29 against the Run Line (+12.75 Units / 13.68% ROI).
- 38-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.55 Units / 13.44% ROI
- 41-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.4 Units / 8.03% ROI
- 32-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.1 Units / -16.18% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ben Lively has walked 1 of 59 batters (2%) over the last 14 days (2 games) — 2nd best in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .419 (13-for-31) against Ben Lively — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .246 — first Percentile.
Ben Lively allowed an OBP of .533 (15 PA’s) against right-handed batters — tied for highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .292 — second Percentile.
Ben Lively has walked 1 of 59 batters (2%) — 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — 96th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Rockies are just 19-8 (.704) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Rockies are just 40-81 (.331) on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .469.
The Rockies are just 33-16 (.673) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Rockies are just 15-12 (.556) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Reds are just 19-45 (.297) after a road loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .449.
The Reds are just 18-28 (.391) after a home win since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .543.
The Reds are just 9-13 (.409) after a loss as favorites since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .591.
The Reds are just 52-82 (.388) after a loss since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .481.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.9 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.6.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .651 (771 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .743.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
The Reds are batting .398 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .353.
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 26% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Reds hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 74 of 651 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.44 (1055.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.92.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Reds pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have won 52% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .304 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Calf, D15
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Derek Law (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Christian Greene (Reds): Hip, D15
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Heel, D10
- Charles Blackmon (Rockies): Hand, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
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