Rockies vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 20

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 20, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Reds are -190 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Noah Davis
  • Reds starting pitcher: Edward Lively
  • Watch the game on BSOH

The Colorado Rockies (+160) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-190) on Tuesday, June 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Reds are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Rockies vs Reds Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Rockies are 29-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 44-29 ATS.

Rockies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -115O 10.5 -115+160
Reds -1.5 -105U 10.5 -105-190

Rockies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 73.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Rockies vs Reds and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+14.50 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+12.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+11.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+11.05 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 21 games at home (+18.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 42 games (+14.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Matt McLain has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 27 games (+13.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 32 games (+12.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Matt McLain has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+12.30 Units / 34% ROI)

Reds vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
TJ Friedl 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Jonathan India 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Jorge Alfaro 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Reds vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
TJ Friedl 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jurickson Profar 1.5 +195 1.5 -275
Jonathan India 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jorge Alfaro 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Reds vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
TJ Friedl 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Jonathan India 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Jorge Alfaro 0.5 +210 0.5 -275

Reds vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ben Lively 5.5 -120 5.5 -110
Davis 3.5 -125 3.5 -105
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 63 games (+10.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 63 games (+7.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 56 games (+5.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 56 games (+4.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 47 games (+3.85 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 51 games (+17.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 72 games (+13.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+12.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games (+10.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+7.65 Units / 11% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 35-40 against the Run Line (-8 Units / -9.11% ROI).

  • 29-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.25 Units / -9.29% ROI
  • 32-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.3 Units / -18.39% ROI
  • 43-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.5 Units / 10.38% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 44-29 against the Run Line (+12.75 Units / 13.68% ROI).

  • 38-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.55 Units / 13.44% ROI
  • 41-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.4 Units / 8.03% ROI
  • 32-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.1 Units / -16.18% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ben Lively has walked 1 of 59 batters (2%) over the last 14 days (2 games) — 2nd best in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .419 (13-for-31) against Ben Lively — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .246 — first Percentile.

Ben Lively allowed an OBP of .533 (15 PA’s) against right-handed batters — tied for highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .292 — second Percentile.

Ben Lively has walked 1 of 59 batters (2%) — 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — 96th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Rockies are just 19-8 (.704) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Rockies are just 40-81 (.331) on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .469.

The Rockies are just 33-16 (.673) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Rockies are just 15-12 (.556) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .734.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Reds are just 19-45 (.297) after a road loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .449.

The Reds are just 18-28 (.391) after a home win since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .543.

The Reds are just 9-13 (.409) after a loss as favorites since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .591.

The Reds are just 52-82 (.388) after a loss since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .481.

The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.9 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.6.

The Rockies are batting .281 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .651 (771 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .743.

Reds hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

The Reds are batting .398 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .353.

Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 26% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Reds hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have walked 74 of 651 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.44 (1055.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.92.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Reds pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Reds pitchers have won 52% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .304 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .251.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Reds vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
  • Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Calf, D15
  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Derek Law (Reds): Elbow, D15
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
  • Christian Greene (Reds): Hip, D15
  • Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Heel, D10
  • Charles Blackmon (Rockies): Hand, D10
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
  • Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
  • Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.