Rockies vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 21

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 21, 2023, 8:21 PM
  • The are favorites vs the
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Connor Seabold
  • Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott
  • Watch the game on BSOH

The Colorado Rockies () visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds () on Wednesday, June 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().

The Rockies vs Reds Over/Under is total runs for the game.

This season, the Rockies are 29-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 45-29 ATS.

Rockies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

  Spread Over / Under Moneyline
Rockies   O  
Reds   U  

Rockies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 87.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

     

    • Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.50 Units / 45% ROI)
    • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+12.25 Units / 20% ROI)
    • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+11.60 Units / 34% ROI)
    • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+10.95 Units / 21% ROI)
    • Nolan Jones has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)

     

      And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

      Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

         

        • Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 22 games at home (+15.55 Units / 31% ROI)
        • Matt McLain has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 28 games (+14.35 Units / 23% ROI)
        • Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+13.90 Units / 31% ROI)
        • Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 33 games (+13.85 Units / 20% ROI)
        • Matt McLain has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 48% ROI)

         

          Reds vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

          Over Under
          Kaiser 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
          Tyler Stephenson 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
          TJ Friedl 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
          Randal Grichuk 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
          Coco Montes 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400

          Reds vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

          Over Under
          Kaiser 0.5 -135 0.5 +105
          Tyler Stephenson 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
          TJ Friedl 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
          Randal Grichuk 1.5 +200 1.5 -275
          Coco Montes 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

          Reds vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

          Over Under
          Kaiser 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
          Tyler Stephenson 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
          TJ Friedl 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
          Randal Grichuk 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
          Coco Montes 0.5 +210 0.5 -300

          Reds vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

          Over Under
          Andrew Abbott 6.5 -105 6.5 -125

             

            • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 64 games (+9.70 Units / 14% ROI)
            • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 64 games (+6.20 Units / 8% ROI)
            • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 57 games (+4.25 Units / 7% ROI)
            • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 57 games (+3.70 Units / 6% ROI)
            • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 43% ROI)

             

                 

                • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 games (+18.95 Units / 33% ROI)
                • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 73 games (+14.75 Units / 16% ROI)
                • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+13.55 Units / 32% ROI)
                • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.10 Units / 33% ROI)
                • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 67 games (+8.65 Units / 12% ROI)

                 

                  Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

                  Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 35-41 against the Run Line (-9.15 Units / -10.29% ROI).

                  • 29-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.25 Units / -10.44% ROI
                  • 33-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.3 Units / -16.96% ROI
                  • 43-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.4 Units / 8.92% ROI

                  Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

                  Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 45-29 against the Run Line (+13.75 Units / 14.59% ROI).

                  • 39-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.55 Units / 14.35% ROI
                  • 42-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.4 Units / 9.16% ROI
                  • 32-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.2 Units / -17.31% ROI

                  Opponents are hitting .373 (31-for-83) against Connor Seabold versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .258 — 0 Percentile.

                  Connor Seabold has allowed a slugging percentage of .630 (46 Total Bases / 73 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .390 — first Percentile.

                  Connor Seabold has allowed an OPS of 1.081 (97 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .765 — first Percentile.

                  Connor Seabold has allowed a slugging percentage of .648 (57 Total Bases / 88 ABs) versus the top of the order this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .435 — second Percentile.

                  Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

                  Andrew Abbott has a strikeout rate of just 21% (6 SO in 29 PAs) with two-strikes — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

                  Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (11/87) against Andrew Abbott over the last 14 days (2 games) — 2nd lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.

                  Andrew Abbott has pitched 17.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Andrew Nardi has the longest active streak at 20.1.

                  Andrew Abbott has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 13.1 innings pitched — Tristan Beck has the longest active streak at 18.2.

                  Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

                  The Rockies are just 48-43 (.527) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.

                  The Rockies are just 33-17 (.660) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.

                  The Rockies are just 23-56 (.291) after a road loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.

                  The Rockies are just 5-21 (.192) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.

                  Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

                  The Reds are just 28-23 (.549) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.

                  The Reds are 15-6 (.714) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .492.

                  The Reds are just 19-45 (.297) after a road loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.

                  The Reds were just 14-24 (.368) when scoring in the first inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .664.

                  The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

                  The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.9 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.6.

                  The Rockies are batting .305 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.

                  The Rockies are batting .281 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

                  Reds hitters are slugging 1.025 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .606.

                  Reds hitters are slugging .710 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .590.

                  Reds hitters have an OBP of .332 (2,836 PA’s) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.

                  Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 26% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

                  Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

                  Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

                  Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

                  Rockies pitchers have walked 74 of 659 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

                  Reds pitchers have won 52% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

                  Reds pitchers have walked 886 of 9,116 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

                  Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

                  Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Reds pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

                  Reds vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

                     

                    • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
                    • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
                    • Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Calf, D15
                    • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
                    • Derek Law (Reds): Elbow, D15
                    • Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
                    • Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
                    • Christian Greene (Reds): Hip, D15
                    • Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
                    • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
                    • Casey Legumina (Reds): Shoulder, D15

                     

                         

                        • Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
                        • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Heel, D10
                        • Charles Blackmon (Rockies): Hand, D10
                        • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
                        • Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
                        • Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
                        • Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
                        • Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
                        • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
                        • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60

                         


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                          Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

                          Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.