Rockies vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 2

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 02, 2022, 11:01 AM
  • The Rockies (56-76) are -105 favorites vs the Reds (51-78)
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland (7-9), 4.88 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Luis Cessa (3-2), 5.35 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSOH

The Colorado Rockies (-105) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-115) on Friday, September 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Rockies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Rockies vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rockies are 55-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 59-68 ATS.

Rockies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies-1.5 +150O 9.5 -115-105
Reds +1.5 -185U 9.5 -105-115

Rockies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Friday‘s matchup with 51.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Reds vs Rockies and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Randal Grichuk has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+14.15 Units / 53% ROI)
  • German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+8.75 Units / 48% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 37 away games (+8.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 18 away games (+7.35 Units / 40% ROI)

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in his last 14 games (+14.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.10 Units / 110% ROI)
  • Donovan Solano has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+9.60 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 25 of their last 41 games (+7.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 58 of their last 101 games (+15.70 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 38 of their last 70 games (+6.20 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+5.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+4.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games at home (+4.30 Units / 18% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 69-60 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 2.06% ROI).

  • 55-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -2.2% ROI
  • 60-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.75 Units / -6.14% ROI
  • 62-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.35 Units / -3.07% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 59-68 against the Run Line (-14.65 Units / -9.41% ROI).

  • 49-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.65 Units / -11.55% ROI
  • 63-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -4.17% ROI
  • 62-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.45 Units / -5.33% ROI

21 of Kyle Freeland’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 54% (222/412) of opposing batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has a strike rate of just 62% (1,093/1,771) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has a strikeout rate of just 16% (101 SO in 625 PAs) this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 10th Percentile.

Luis Cessa: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .476 (10-for-21) against Luis Cessa on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .322 — ninth Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (80/135) against Luis Cessa since the start of last season — 13th highest among among 137 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 91st Percentile.

Luis Cessa has a strikeout rate of just 8% (5 SO in 62 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs since the start of last season — tied for 13th lowest among among 121 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 11th Percentile.

Luis Cessa has thrown low pitches 65% of the time (466/718) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Rockies are just 12-31 (.279) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are 9-58 (.134) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Rockies are 38-3 (.927) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Reds are just 17-63 (.212) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.

The Reds are just 39-7 (.848) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Reds are just 24-40 (.375) on the road this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .472.

The Reds are just 27-38 (.415) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Rockies are batting .283 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of .348 (2,602 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.

The Rockies are batting .286 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Rockies have won just 40% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

Reds hitters have an OBP of .322 (7,969 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .294 (603 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.

The Reds are batting just .241 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Reds hitters have 714 strikeouts in 2,983 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 460.0

Rockies pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 60% of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.

Reds pitchers have walked 475 of 4,981 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 71 double plays in 992 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Reds pitchers have walked 1,092 of 11,180 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Reds vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Christian Greene (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
  • Reinaldo Almora Jr. (Reds): Shoulder, D10
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Matthew Reynolds (Reds): Hip, D10
  • Timothy James Zeuch (Reds): Back, D15
  • Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D60
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Biceps, D15
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Votto (Reds): Rotator Cuff, D60
  • Michael Moustakas (Reds): Calf, D60
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): ACL, D15
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D15
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonathan Daza (Rockies): Shoulder, D10
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.