Rockies vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 4

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 04, 2022, 8:41 AM
  • The Reds (52-78) are -125 favorites vs the Rockies (56-77)
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Germán Márquez (7-10), 4.97 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Nicholas Lodolo (3-5), 4.29 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSOH

The Colorado Rockies (+105) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-125) on Sunday, September 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Reds are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Rockies vs Reds Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rockies are 55-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 59-69 ATS.

Rockies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -190O 8 -110+105
Reds -1.5 +155U 8 -110-125

Rockies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Sunday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Reds vs Rockies and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Randal Grichuk has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.95 Units / 46% ROI)

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in his last 15 games (+15.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Donovan Solano has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 37 games (+10.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+8.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.40 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 58 of their last 102 games (+14.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+5.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games at home (+5.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 38 of their last 71 games (+5.15 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 23 games at home (+4.10 Units / 16% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 70-60 against the Run Line (+4.25 Units / 2.67% ROI).

  • 55-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -2.91% ROI
  • 60-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.95 Units / -6.92% ROI
  • 63-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.35 Units / -2.35% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 59-69 against the Run Line (-15.65 Units / -9.98% ROI).

  • 50-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.65 Units / -10.71% ROI
  • 63-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.05 Units / -4.98% ROI
  • 63-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -4.59% ROI

Opponents are hitless in 25 AB’s against German Marquez with two-strikes — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .154 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .267 (153-for-572) against German Marquez this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 14th Percentile.

German Marquez has allowed an OPS of just .038 (26 PA’s) with two-strikes — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .450 — 100th Percentile.

German Marquez has thrown his curveball 53% of the time (346/659) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Nicholas Lodolo: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .375 (27 GB hits out of 72 GBs) against Nick Lodolo this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: .234 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 28% (67/235) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 33% (52/158) against Nick Lodolo this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (53/176) against Nick Lodolo this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Rockies are just 20-45 (.308) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Rockies are just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 12-32 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 50-61 (.450) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Reds are just 39-7 (.848) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Reds are just 18-63 (.222) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.

The Reds are just 4-63 (.060) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Reds are just 28-38 (.424) at home this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Rockies are batting .286 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Rockies are batting .308 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Rockies are batting .283 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies have won just 40% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

Reds hitters are slugging just .378 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.

Reds hitters are slugging just .499 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .555.

Reds hitters have an OBP of .338 (5,520 PA’s) at home since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .321.

Reds hitters are slugging just .344 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 460.0

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 72 double plays in 1,001 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Reds pitchers have walked 100 of 1,146 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .306 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Reds pitchers have walked 230 of 2,586 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Reds vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Christian Greene (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
  • Reinaldo Almora Jr. (Reds): Shoulder, D10
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Matthew Reynolds (Reds): Hip, D10
  • Timothy James Zeuch (Reds): Back, D15
  • Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D60
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Biceps, D15
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Votto (Reds): Rotator Cuff, D60
  • Michael Moustakas (Reds): Calf, D60
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): ACL, D15
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D15
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonathan Daza (Rockies): Shoulder, D10
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.