- The Reds (52-78) are -125 favorites vs the Rockies (56-77)
- Rockies starting pitcher: Germán Márquez (7-10), 4.97 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Nicholas Lodolo (3-5), 4.29 ERA
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Colorado Rockies (+105) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-125) on Sunday, September 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Reds are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Rockies vs Reds Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rockies are 55-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 59-69 ATS.
Rockies vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -190 | O 8 -110 | +105 |
| Reds | -1.5 +155 | U 8 -110 | -125 |
Rockies vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Sunday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.95 Units / 46% ROI)
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in his last 15 games (+15.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 37 games (+10.80 Units / 21% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rockies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+8.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.50 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 58 of their last 102 games (+14.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+5.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games at home (+5.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 38 of their last 71 games (+5.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 23 games at home (+4.10 Units / 16% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 70-60 against the Run Line (+4.25 Units / 2.67% ROI).
- 55-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -2.91% ROI
- 60-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.95 Units / -6.92% ROI
- 63-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.35 Units / -2.35% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 59-69 against the Run Line (-15.65 Units / -9.98% ROI).
- 50-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.65 Units / -10.71% ROI
- 63-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.05 Units / -4.98% ROI
- 63-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -4.59% ROI
Germán Márquez: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitless in 25 AB’s against German Marquez with two-strikes — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .154 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .267 (153-for-572) against German Marquez this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 14th Percentile.
German Marquez has allowed an OPS of just .038 (26 PA’s) with two-strikes — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .450 — 100th Percentile.
German Marquez has thrown his curveball 53% of the time (346/659) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Nicholas Lodolo: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .375 (27 GB hits out of 72 GBs) against Nick Lodolo this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: .234 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 28% (67/235) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 33% (52/158) against Nick Lodolo this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (53/176) against Nick Lodolo this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Rockies are just 20-45 (.308) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Rockies are just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 12-32 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 50-61 (.450) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Reds are just 39-7 (.848) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Reds are just 18-63 (.222) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.
The Reds are just 4-63 (.060) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Reds are just 28-38 (.424) at home this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .286 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Rockies are batting .308 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Rockies are batting .283 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have won just 40% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .378 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.
Reds hitters are slugging just .499 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .555.
Reds hitters have an OBP of .338 (5,520 PA’s) at home since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Reds hitters are slugging just .344 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 460.0
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 72 double plays in 1,001 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Reds pitchers have walked 100 of 1,146 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .306 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Reds pitchers have walked 230 of 2,586 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
- Christian Greene (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Reinaldo Almora Jr. (Reds): Shoulder, D10
- Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
- Matthew Reynolds (Reds): Hip, D10
- Timothy James Zeuch (Reds): Back, D15
- Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D60
- Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D60
- Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Biceps, D15
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Rotator Cuff, D60
- Michael Moustakas (Reds): Calf, D60
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): ACL, D15
- Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Foot, D10
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Yonathan Daza (Rockies): Shoulder, D10
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
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