- The Royals are -150 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber
- Royals starting pitcher: Daniel A. Lynch
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Colorado Rockies (+125) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-150) on Saturday, June 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Royals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Rockies vs Royals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 25-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 22-35 ATS.
Rockies vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -155 | O 9.5 -115 | +125 |
| Royals | -1.5 +125 | U 9.5 -105 | -150 |
Rockies vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 61.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+9.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+8.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.15 Units / 81% ROI)
- Mike Moustakas has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+7.85 Units / 87% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 away games (+7.45 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+11.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+10.45 Units / 69% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 13 games at home (+9.30 Units / 72% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 41 games (+8.75 Units / 19% ROI)
Royals vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Royals vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -210 |
Royals vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Royals vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Gomber | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
| Daniel Lynch | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +115 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 away games (+10.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 36 games (+7.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 57 games (+7.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games (+6.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 40 games (+6.05 Units / 15% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+6.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 53 games (+4.40 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.30 Units / 48% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 28-31 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -8.35% ROI).
- 25-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -3.23% ROI
- 25-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.65 Units / -19.25% ROI
- 34-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.05 Units / 10.98% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 22-35 against the Run Line (-18.1 Units / -26.02% ROI).
- 17-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.2 Units / -30.59% ROI
- 24-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.15 Units / -16.18% ROI
- 31-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.5 Units / 7.18% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has allowed an OPS of 1.034 (171 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: .724 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .868 (33 Total Bases / 38 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .446 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed an OBP of .420 (169 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: .319 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 41% (34/84) against Austin Gomber on elevated fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (42/136) against Daniel Lynch on breaking pitches since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .464 (32-for-69) against Daniel Lynch on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: .343 — first Percentile.
Daniel Lynch has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.5 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (71 balls in play) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 52% (67/128) against Daniel Lynch on breaking pitches since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rockies are just 47-40 (.540) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Rockies are just 37-74 (.333) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Rockies are just 7-10 (.412) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .563.
The Rockies are just 61-29 (.678) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .800.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Royals are just 11-8 (.579) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .786.
The Royals are just 8-22 (.267) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Royals are just 5-60 (.077) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .350.
The Royals are just 6-12 (.333) after a loss as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.4 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.
The Rockies are batting .283 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.6 feet since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 27% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 30% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .286 (1,556 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Royals are batting just .194 with two outs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 30% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% over the last 14 days (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 60 of 512 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 6% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Royals have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .307 against Royals pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Royals vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Amir Garrett (Royals): Elbow, D15
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Carlos Hernández (Royals): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Heel, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
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