Rockies vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 4

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 04, 2023, 3:33 PM
  • The Royals are -150 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland
  • Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer
  • Watch the game on BSKC

The Colorado Rockies (+125) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-150) on Sunday, June 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Royals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Rockies vs Royals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Rockies are 26-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 22-36 ATS.

Rockies vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -155O 9 -110+125
Royals -1.5 +125U 9 -110-150

Rockies vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 65.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Rockies vs Royals and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 37 games (+10.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 21 away games (+9.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.65 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.35 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+8.15 Units / 68% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+11.45 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Nick Pratto has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+10.30 Units / 73% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+9.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+8.60 Units / 28% ROI)

Royals vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Pratto 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Brenton Doyle 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Maikel Garcia 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +400 0.5 -700

Royals vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Pratto 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Jurickson Profar 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Maikel Garcia 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Bobby Witt Jr. 1.5 +170 1.5 -225
MJ Melendez 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Royals vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Pratto 0.5 +210 0.5 -275
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Brenton Doyle 0.5 +210 0.5 -275
Maikel Garcia 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +155 0.5 -210

Royals vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brady Singer 4.5 -165 4.5 +125
Brady Singer 5.5 +125 5.5 -160
Kyle Freeland 4.5 +125 4.5 -165
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 away games (+9.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 37 games (+8.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 41 games (+7.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 41 games (+7.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+8.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 54 games (+5.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.75 Units / 21% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 29-31 against the Run Line (-4.85 Units / -6.78% ROI).

  • 26-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -1.11% ROI
  • 26-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.65 Units / -17.47% ROI
  • 34-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.85 Units / 8.95% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 22-36 against the Run Line (-19.1 Units / -27.07% ROI).

  • 17-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.7 Units / -32.3% ROI
  • 25-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.15 Units / -14.35% ROI
  • 31-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.3 Units / 5.17% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .229 against Kyle Freeland on the first pitch of at-bats this season — sixth best among qualified SPs– 91st Percentile. Opponents batted .438 (49-for-112) against him on the first pitch of at-bats last season — second worst among qualified SPs– fourth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .409 (9-for-22) against Kyle Freeland with two-strikes — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .164 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .379 (22-for-58) against Kyle Freeland — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .228 — first Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .486 (54 Total Bases / 111 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — first Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 61% (34/56) against Brady Singer on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 32% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 59% (52/88) against Brady Singer on non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 58% (101/173) against Brady Singer this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 64% (57/89) against Brady Singer vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 0 Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Rockies are just 62-29 (.681) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .799.

The Rockies are just 5-13 (.278) after a road loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Rockies are just 13-21 (.382) after a loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.

The Rockies are just 47-40 (.540) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Royals are just 8-23 (.258) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Royals are just 17-41 (.293) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals are just 1-20 (.048) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.

The Royals are just 5-61 (.076) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .351.

The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Rockies are batting .283 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.6 feet since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.2 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 27% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .286 (1,556 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 30% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .296 (2,113 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% over the last 14 days (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 30% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rockies pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Royals pitchers have walked 178 of 1,919 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals pitchers have walked 219 of 2,180 batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Royals pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Royals vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Amir Garrett (Royals): Elbow, D15
  • Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
  • Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
  • Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Carlos Hernández (Royals): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D15
  • Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Heel, D10
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D15
  • Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
  • Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
  • Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60

Bet now on Rockies vs Royals and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

BetMGM First Bet Offer $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.