- The Royals are -150 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Colorado Rockies (+125) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-150) on Sunday, June 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Royals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Rockies vs Royals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 26-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 22-36 ATS.
Rockies vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 -155 | O 9 -110 | +125 |
| Royals | -1.5 +125 | U 9 -110 | -150 |
Rockies vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 65.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 37 games (+10.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 21 away games (+9.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.65 Units / 87% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.35 Units / 51% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+8.15 Units / 68% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+11.45 Units / 70% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+10.30 Units / 73% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+9.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+8.60 Units / 28% ROI)
Royals vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
Royals vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Royals vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Royals vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
| Brady Singer | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
| Kyle Freeland | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 away games (+9.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 37 games (+8.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 41 games (+7.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 41 games (+7.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.00 Units / 18% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+8.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 54 games (+5.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.75 Units / 21% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 29-31 against the Run Line (-4.85 Units / -6.78% ROI).
- 26-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -1.11% ROI
- 26-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.65 Units / -17.47% ROI
- 34-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.85 Units / 8.95% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 22-36 against the Run Line (-19.1 Units / -27.07% ROI).
- 17-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.7 Units / -32.3% ROI
- 25-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.15 Units / -14.35% ROI
- 31-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.3 Units / 5.17% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .229 against Kyle Freeland on the first pitch of at-bats this season — sixth best among qualified SPs– 91st Percentile. Opponents batted .438 (49-for-112) against him on the first pitch of at-bats last season — second worst among qualified SPs– fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .409 (9-for-22) against Kyle Freeland with two-strikes — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .164 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .379 (22-for-58) against Kyle Freeland — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .228 — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .486 (54 Total Bases / 111 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — first Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 61% (34/56) against Brady Singer on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 32% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 59% (52/88) against Brady Singer on non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 58% (101/173) against Brady Singer this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 64% (57/89) against Brady Singer vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 0 Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rockies are just 62-29 (.681) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Rockies are just 5-13 (.278) after a road loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Rockies are just 13-21 (.382) after a loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Rockies are just 47-40 (.540) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Royals are just 8-23 (.258) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Royals are just 17-41 (.293) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 1-20 (.048) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.
The Royals are just 5-61 (.076) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .351.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies are batting .283 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.6 feet since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.2 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 27% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .286 (1,556 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 30% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .296 (2,113 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% over the last 14 days (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 30% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have walked 178 of 1,919 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have walked 219 of 2,180 batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Amir Garrett (Royals): Elbow, D15
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Carlos Hernández (Royals): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Heel, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
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