- The Angels are -225 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles
- Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers
- Watch the game on BSW
The Kansas City Royals (+180) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-225) on Sunday, April 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Royals vs Angels Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 5-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 9-12 ATS.
Royals vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -110 | O 9.5 -105 | +180 |
| Angels | -1.5 -110 | U 9.5 -115 | -225 |
Royals vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 67.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nicky Lopez has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Nicky Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 away games (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.65 Units / 65% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 away games (+5.40 Units / 100% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+10.90 Units / 54% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+8.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+7.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.55 Units / 37% ROI)
Angels vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Duffy | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
Angels vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Matt Duffy | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +210 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Angels vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Matt Duffy | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Angels vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Reid Detmers | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
| Jordan Lyles | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.15 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+2.00 Units / 25% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 6-15 against the Run Line (-12.05 Units / -45.9% ROI).
- 5-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -9 Units / -42.55% ROI
- 12-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.05 Units / 13.06% ROI
- 8-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.2 Units / -22.76% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 9-12 against the Run Line (-4 Units / -15.33% ROI).
- 10-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.05 Units / -15.61% ROI
- 9-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -9.57% ROI
- 10-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.44% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .412 (165 Total Bases / 400 ABs) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .244 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .240 (96-for-400) against Jordan Lyles with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .158 — second Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed an OPS of .711 (436 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .465 — second Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed an OBP of .298 (436 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .222 — second Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 29% (6/21) against Reid Detmers — 6th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.
Reid Detmers has thrown elevated pitches 47% of the time (283/609) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 97th Percentile.
Reid Detmers has allowed an OBP of .625 (16 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .331 — third Percentile.
Reid Detmers has thrown elevated pitches 45% of the time (877/1,961) against right-handed batters since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 97th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Royals are just 2-7 (.222) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Royals are just 5-48 (.094) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.
The Royals are just 5-14 (.263) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .540.
The Royals are just 25-94 (.210) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Angels are just 3-15 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 17-9 (.654) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .807.
The Angels are just 3-76 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .261 (554 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .256 (458 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .267 (754 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .597 (754 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters are slugging just .156 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Angels hitters have 7 extra-base hits out of 51 total hits (just 14%) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of .364 (184 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .558 (242 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Royals have allowed 7.08 runs per game (85/12) over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.55.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 6.90 (105.2 IP) over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.25.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 619 of 6,832 batters (9%) since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 22 of 185 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels pitchers have walked 33 of 264 batters (12%) over the past seven days (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Headaches, D10
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D10
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Dennis Tepera (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D15
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
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