- The Royals are +100 favorites vs the Astros
- Royals vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | FDKC
The Kansas City Royals (+100) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-120) on Monday, May 12, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Royals are 24-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 21-17 ATS.
Royals vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 2-4, 2.98 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Ryan Gusto 3-1, 2.93 ERA
Royals vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Royals | -1.5 +165 | O 8 -102 | +100 |
Astros | +1.5 -200 | U 8 -118 | -120 |
Royals vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+12.90 Units / 258% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 20 away games (+7.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+6.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 away games (+5.35 Units / 134% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+4.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+3.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+3.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+3.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games at home (+3.25 Units / 41% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 away games (+9.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+7.20 Units / 101% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+6.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.50 Units / 44% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- No trends found
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 20-21 against the Run Line (-8.1 Units / -13.89% ROI).
- 24-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.75 Units / 14.54% ROI
- 14-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.2 Units / -31.73% ROI
- 26-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.65 Units / 23.43% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 21-17 against the Run Line (+5.85 Units / 12.1% ROI).
- 19-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -10.55% ROI
- 17-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.65 Units / -8.82% ROI
- 19-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.24% ROI
Astros vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Zach Dezenzo (HOU) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Astros vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
Jonathan India (KC) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Astros vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Astros vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Ryan Gusto (HOU) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
Michael Wacha (KC) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha threw his breaking pitches for a strike just 47% (212/452) of the time in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .149 (10-for-67) against Michael Wacha when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 96th Percentile.
Hitters swung at 28% of Michael Wacha’s breaking pitches (128/452) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Michael Wacha has allowed a slugging percentage of just .194 (13 Total Bases / 67 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .375 — 97th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
71% of Ryan Gusto’s fastball strikeouts are located away this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
82% of Ryan Gusto’s fastball strikeouts are elevatedthis season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 97th Percentile.
Ryan Gusto has a strikeout rate of 34% (14 SO in 41 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 11th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 90th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .080 (2-for-25) against Ryan Gusto on fastballs away this season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .239 — 97th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Royals are just 5-60 (.077) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .190.
The Royals are just 17-85 (.167) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 2-8 (.200) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Astros (10th best runs scored) today.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are just 1-74 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Astros are 13-6 (.684) after a loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Astros are 150-28 (.843) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Royals hitters have struck out in just 19% of it’s PA’s against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .287 (6,720 PA’s) on the road since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have an OBP of .429 (170 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.66 pitches per plate appearance in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have put just 29% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 5% of batters over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Royals pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals pitchers have walked 4% of batters this month (11 game{NumGameSuffix}) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have walked 13% of batters this month (9 game{NumGameSuffix}) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
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