- The Astros are -145 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Astros Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Royals / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | FDKC
The Kansas City Royals (+120) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-145) on Tuesday, May 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX, TX.
This season, the Royals are 25-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 22-18 ATS.
Royals vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Kris Bubic 4-2, 1.68 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 2-4, 4.00 ERA
Royals vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 -110 | +120 |
| Astros | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 -110 | -145 |
Royals vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+11.90 Units / 198% ROI)
- Drew Waters has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+8.65 Units / 124% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+7.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+6.50 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+14.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- Victor Caratini has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+13.40 Units / 335% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+13.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+9.30 Units / 46% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 43 games (+18.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games (+14.95 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+13.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 42 games (+7.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+7.30 Units / 26% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+10.92 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.10 Units / 28% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 21-22 against the Run Line (-8.1 Units / -13.21% ROI).
- 25-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.45 Units / 13.39% ROI
- 15-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.22 Units / -30.34% ROI
- 27-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.55 Units / 22.1% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 22-18 against the Run Line (+6.27 Units / 12.45% ROI).
- 20-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -10.48% ROI
- 18-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -8.5% ROI
- 20-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Astros vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Astros vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
| Mark Canha (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Astros vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Astros vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kris Bubic (KC) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Framber Valdez (HOU) | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -165 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kris Bubic has a strike rate of 72% (156/217) in two strike counts this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .150 (3-for-20) against Kris Bubic when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .309 — 100th Percentile.
Kris Bubic has allowed a slugging percentage of just .298 (53 Total Bases / 178 ABs) this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .385 — 92nd Percentile.
Kris Bubic has a strike rate of 72% (156/217) in two strike counts this season — 3rd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 65% — 95th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (291/473) against Framber Valdez in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
7 of Framber Valdez’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — tied for most among among AL Starters; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (364/606) against Framber Valdez since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (309/510) against Framber Valdez since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are 18-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .879.
The Royals are just 17-85 (.167) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.
The Royals are just 23-67 (.256) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .375.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 13-23 (.361) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 48-47 (.505) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .287 (6,762 PA’s) on the road since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Royals are batting .174 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have an OBP of .433 (178 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Astros hitters have put just 29% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.69 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Royals pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals pitchers had an ERA of 5.39 (674.0 IP) on the road in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Royals pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
More MLB Reading:
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