- The Athletics are -135 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals starting pitcher: Joseph Davidson
- Athletics starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Kansas City Royals (+110) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (-135) on Monday, August 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.
The Athletics are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Royals vs Athletics Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 40-86 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 57-66 ATS.
Royals vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -105 | +110 |
| Athletics | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -115 | -135 |
Royals vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Athletics will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 58.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jordan Lyles has hit the Earned Runs Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.40 Units / 59% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Matt Duffy has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.20 Units / 66% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonah Bride has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.80 Units / 72% ROI)
- Zack Gelof has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jonah Bride has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+7.30 Units / 18% ROI)
Athletics vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1300 | 0.5 |
| Lawrence Butler | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Matt Duffy | 0.5 +1250 | 0.5 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
Athletics vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Lawrence Butler | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Matt Duffy | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Athletics vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -500 |
| Lawrence Butler | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Duffy | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
Athletics vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Blackburn | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -140 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 22 games (+10.89 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.04 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 36 games (+1.05 Units / 3% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 68 of their last 110 games (+20.84 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 64 games (+6.39 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.79 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 63 games (+4.84 Units / 8% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 55-71 against the Run Line (-26.75 Units / -17.59% ROI).
- 40-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -30.45 Units / -23.64% ROI
- 60-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.75 Units / -6.33% ROI
- 62-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.1 Units / -2.99% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 57-66 against the Run Line (-13.55 Units / -9.65% ROI).
- 33-90 when betting on the Moneyline for -33.8 Units / -27.66% ROI
- 64-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.55 Units / 3.32% ROI
- 53-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.85 Units / -12.57% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tucker Davidson has allowed an OBP of .348 (89 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .237 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .266 (21-for-79) against Tucker Davidson with two-strikes this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .159 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .325 (51-for-157) against Tucker Davidson this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .232 — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .350 (41-for-117) against Tucker Davidson this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — first Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 12% (7/58) against Paul Blackburn on low breaking pitches this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Michael Wacha threw his changeup 48% of the time (287/598) with two-strikes in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 20% (29/144) against Paul Blackburn on non-fastballs this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 18% (25/135) against Paul Blackburn on breaking pitches this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Royals are just 27-27 (.500) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Royals are just 9-78 (.103) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Royals are just 5-37 (.119) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .386.
The Royals are just 4-16 (.200) after a road win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Athletics are just 20-68 (.227) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Athletics are just 18-44 (.290) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Athletics are just 22-7 (.759) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Athletics are just 73-58 (.557) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 36% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals have won just 45% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 70%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .210 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Athletics are batting just .219 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .351 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .289 (10,464 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have won only 11% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
The Athletics have allowed 6.32 runs per game (392/62) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.58.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.55 (516.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.80 (1087.2 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Athletics vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Angel Felipe (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Richard Lovelady (Athletics): Arm, D15
- James Kaprielian (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Austin Pruitt (Athletics): Forearm, D15
- Ryan Noda (Athletics): Jaw, D10
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Jeffrey Bleday (Athletics): Knee, D10
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Yacksel Ríos (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Calf, D15
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Donald Greinke (Royals): Elbow, D15
- Nicholas Pratto (Royals): Groin, D10
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D60
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Maikel Garcia (Royals): Upper Body, Day-to-Day
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D60
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