- The Blue Jays are -155 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Royals / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | FDKC
The Kansas City Royals (+130) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-155) on Friday, August 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Royals are 54-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 65-44 ATS.
Royals vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 4-9, 3.54 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Max Scherzer 1-1, 4.94 ERA
Royals vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -160 | O 8 -110 | +130 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +135 | U 8 -110 | -155 |
Royals vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+20.90 Units / 299% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 away games (+7.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+7.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+7.40 Units / 106% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Myles Straw has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+12.00 Units / 300% ROI)
- Joey Loperfido has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.05 Units / 73% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Walks Over in his last 6 games (+8.95 Units / 149% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.35 Units / 36% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 72 of their last 109 games (+32.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 41 away games (+19.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 101 games (+18.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 away games (+14.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 41 away games (+12.90 Units / 26% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 74 games (+19.74 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 65 of their last 109 games (+19.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 78 games (+16.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 55 games (+11.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+6.65 Units / 44% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 56-52 against the Run Line (-6.7 Units / -4.42% ROI).
- 54-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -1.15% ROI
- 44-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.37 Units / -21.36% ROI
- 64-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.5 Units / 12.81% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 65-44 against the Run Line (+18.05 Units / 12.04% ROI).
- 64-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.54 Units / 11.64% ROI
- 58-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.65 Units / 5.49% ROI
- 47-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.25 Units / -13.44% ROI
Blue Jays vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Blue Jays vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nathan Lukes (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Blue Jays vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Wacha (KC) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
| Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .163 (34-for-209) against Michael Wacha’s non-fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .218 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 23% (28/123) against Michael Wacha with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .260 (19-for-73) against Michael Wacha’s elevated fastball this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .206 — eighth Percentile.
Michael Wacha has allowed a slugging percentage of just .234 (49 Total Bases / 209 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .359 — 98th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 8% (1/13) against Max Scherzer in his last start — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 40% — second Percentile.
Max Scherzer did not walk any of the 24 batters that he faced in his last start — tied for best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Max Scherzer has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to July 11th — Ben Brown has the longest active streak at 6.
Opponents batted just .125 (3-for-24) against Max Scherzer in his last start — 5th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .227 — 91st Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 2-44 (.043) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Royals are 17-3 (.850) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Royals are 47-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .959.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Blue Jays are 46-3 (.939) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Blue Jays are 64-46 (.582) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Blue Jays are 40-23 (.635) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .509.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .873 (742 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.069.
The Royals are batting just .291 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Royals hitters have struck out in just 7% of their PA’s with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .185 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .148.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
The Royals have allowed 3.71 runs per game (497/134) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
The Royals have won 37% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 3.53 (458.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 4% of batters over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 3% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Blue Jays pitchers over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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