Royals vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 25

Toronto Blue Jays' George Springer bats during a baseball game against the Tampa Bay Rays Friday, Sept. 20, 2024, in St. Petersburg, Fla.
(AP Photo/Steve Nesius)
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  • The Blue Jays are -125 favorites vs the Royals
  • Royals vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
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The Kansas City Royals (+105) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-125) on August 25, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 pm in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Royals are 58-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 66-65 ATS.

Royals vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 5-7, 4.72 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Max Scherzer 1-6, 7.46 ERA

Royals vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 -200O 8.5 +100+105
Blue Jays -1.5 +160U 8.5 -120-125

Royals vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+37.00 Units / 370% ROI)
  • Nick Loftin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Carter Jensen has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+10.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.55 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 25 games (+18.65 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.35 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+13.50 Units / 150% ROI)
  • Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.85 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jesus Sanchez has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.95 Units / 94% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games (+12.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 away games (+11.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+7.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 away games (+5.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 45 games at home (+17.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+10.90 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+10.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.50 Units / 29% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 63-64 against the Run Line (-16.4 Units / -9.11% ROI).

  • 58-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.1 Units / -10.88% ROI
  • 60-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.65 Units / -10.05% ROI
  • 68-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 1.87% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 66-65 against the Run Line (-6.05 Units / -3.51% ROI).

  • 64-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.1 Units / -6.87% ROI
  • 66-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -2.13% ROI
  • 63-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.1 Units / -6.28% ROI

Blue Jays vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Jac Caglianone +280
Carter Jensen +310
Vinnie Pasquantino +333
Bobby Witt Jr. +340
Kazuma Okamoto +350

Blue Jays vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Nathan Lukes 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Jac Caglianone 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
George Springer 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 -235 0.5 +170

Blue Jays vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kazuma Okamoto 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Salvador Perez 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Isaac Collins 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Jesus Sanchez 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Royals are just 26-48 (.351) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB.

The Royals are just 22-44 (.333) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

The Royals are just 48-8 (.857) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Royals are just 58-74 (.439) this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Blue Jays are just 7-47 (.130) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are just 9-30 (.231) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are 19-108 (.150) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays are 44-4 (.917) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Royals hitters are slugging just .366 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters have put 39% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Royals are batting .266 at home this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have chased 42% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting just .225 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .641 (1,450 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .970 (917 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Royals pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have an ERA of 5.09 (560.1 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (3,121 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (3,121 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have won only 20% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.