- The – (60-30) are favorites vs the – (60-30)
- Royals starting pitcher: Kristofer Bubic (1-6), 6.62 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos (7-4), 5.38 ERA
- Watch the game on Peacock
The Kansas City Royals () visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays () on Sunday, July 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 12:05pm EDT in Toronto.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Royals vs Blue Jays Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Royals are 36-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 38-54 ATS.
Royals vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | O | ||
| Blue Jays | U |
Royals vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 38 away games (+14.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 52 games (+12.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 30 away games (+11.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+10.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 57 games (+10.40 Units / 13% ROI)
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+13.75 Units / 54% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.95 Units / 71% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Danny Jansen | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
Blue Jays vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Bo Bichette | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -225 |
| Danny Jansen | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
Blue Jays vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -165 |
| Danny Jansen | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
Blue Jays vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 -110 |
| Kris Bubic | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 37 games (+13.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+8.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+6.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 away games (+6.65 Units / 38% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 36 of their last 50 games (+22.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 51 games (+17.90 Units / 33% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 41-50 against the Run Line (-18.7 Units / -15.44% ROI).
- 36-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.65 Units / -12.91% ROI
- 45-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -0.95% ROI
- 42-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.6 Units / -7.54% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 38-54 against the Run Line (-20.65 Units / -18.35% ROI).
- 49-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.35 Units / -11.46% ROI
- 49-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.55 Units / 2.54% ROI
- 42-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.85 Units / -12.56% ROI
Kristofer Bubic: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kris Bubic has allowed an OPS of 1.105 (307 PA’s) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: .768 — 0 Percentile.
Kris Bubic has allowed an OBP of .393 (257 PA’s) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: .304 — second Percentile.
Kris Bubic has allowed an OBP of .427 (307 PA’s) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: .326 — first Percentile.
Kris Bubic has allowed a slugging percentage of .678 (179 Total Bases / 264 ABs) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: .442 — 0 Percentile.
José Berríos: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .657 (46 Total Bases / 70 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .369 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .378 (37-for-98) against Jose Berrios on inside fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .262 — third Percentile.
Jose Berrios has an ERA of 7.15 (50.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.71 — third Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .486 (187 Total Bases / 385 ABs) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — fourth Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Royals are just 2-25 (.074) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Royals are just 1-44 (.022) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .116.
The Royals are just 4-42 (.087) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Royals are just 5-25 (.167) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Blue Jays are 38-1 (.974) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .884.
The Blue Jays are 5-31 (.139) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .116.
The Blue Jays are 29-19 (.604) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Blue Jays are 39-11 (.780) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 165 strikeouts in 916 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have just 493 strikeouts in 2,609 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals have won just 47% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 77%.
Royals hitters are slugging just .349 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .441.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .671 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,475 strikeouts in 7,258 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .783 (7,258 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus the heart of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have walked 354 of 3,545 batters (10%) this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 244 of 3,428 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 6 of 209 batters (3%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 717 of 9,344 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Blue Jays vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Yusei Kikuchi (Blue Jays): Neck, D15
- Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
- Salvador Perez (Royals): Thumb, D10
- Jonathan Heasley (Royals): Shoudler, D15
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Blister, D15
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
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