Royals vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 10

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 10, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Blue Jays are -185 favorites vs the Royals
  • Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos
  • Watch the game on SNET

The Kansas City Royals (+150) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-185) on Sunday, September 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Royals vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Royals are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 0-0 ATS.

Royals vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 -140O 8 -115+150
Blue Jays -1.5 +115U 8 -105-185

Royals vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 75.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 19 away games (+16.30 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jordan Lyles has hit the Earned Runs Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.10 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+11.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Maikel Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Whit Merrifield has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+16.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Davis Schneider has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+13.05 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+12.05 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Davis Schneider has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Davis Schneider has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.95 Units / 46% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Davis Schneider 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 +1050 0.5
George Springer 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Maikel Garcia 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Blue Jays vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Davis Schneider 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
George Springer 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Maikel Garcia 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
Bobby Witt Jr. 1.5 +180 1.5 -250

Blue Jays vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Davis Schneider 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
George Springer 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Maikel Garcia 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +175 0.5 -225

Blue Jays vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cole Ragans 5.5 +115 5.5 -150
Jose Berrios 5.5 +100 5.5 -135
Jose Berrios 6.5 +120 6.5 -160
Cole Ragans 4.5 -150 4.5 +115
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games (+8.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games (+7.34 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.84 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+2.08 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.37 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 67 of their last 116 games (+14.39 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 65 games at home (+9.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+4.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 50 games (+4.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.40 Units / 24% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Cole Ragans has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 21.2 innings pitched — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Cole Ragans has allowed an OBP of just .118 (34 PA’s) against right-handed batters — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .294 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .091 (3-for-33) against Cole Ragans — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.

Cole Ragans has not allowed a home run in any of the last 28.1 innings he’s appeared — Tanner Scott has the longest active streak at 57.2.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of 46% (26/56) against Jose Berrios in late innings since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% (61/169) against Jose Berrios in two-strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — sixth Percentile.

Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of just .284 (21 Total Bases / 74 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .400 — 93rd Percentile.

Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 56% of the time (382/679) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Royals are just 9-82 (.099) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.

The Royals are just 14-26 (.350) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .609.

The Royals are just 1-8 (.111) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals are just 5-41 (.109) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .391.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Blue Jays are 17-11 (.607) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.

The Blue Jays are 72-28 (.720) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .574.

The Blue Jays are 11-5 (.688) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.

The Blue Jays are 149-36 (.805) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

The Royals are just 9-82 (.099) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .279 (2,583 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

The Royals are just 5-14 (-50.5% ROI) when slight moneyline favorites (-101 to -149) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

The Royals are just 16-33 (.320) against the run line (-38.3% ROI) after a road win since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.

The Blue Jays are batting .266 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Blue Jays are batting .375 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.

Blue Jays hitters have just 477 strikeouts in 2,503 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Blue Jays are batting .271 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Royals pitchers have an ERA of 5.39 (589.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 845 of 11,408 batters (7%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% with runners in scoring position over the last 30 days (25 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 3.73 (1268.0 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.

Blue Jays vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
  • Otto Lopez (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
  • Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
  • Brandon Belt (Blue Jays): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Matt Chapman (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
  • Erik Swanson (Blue Jays): Spine, D15
  • Hagen Danner (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
  • Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • John McMillon (Royals): Forearm, D15
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
  • Freddy Fermin (Royals): Finger, D10
  • Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D60
  • Austin Cox (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.