- The Blue Jays are -250 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals starting pitcher: Collin Snider
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Kansas City Royals (+195) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-250) on Friday, September 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Royals vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 44-97 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 66-74 ATS.
Royals vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -105 | O 9 -115 | +195 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 -115 | U 9 -105 | -250 |
Royals vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 82.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jordan Lyles has hit the Earned Runs Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+11.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+9.90 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Davis Schneider has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.05 Units / 137% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+14.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+12.75 Units / 64% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 12 games (+12.15 Units / 93% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+11.25 Units / 22% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Dairon Blanco | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Matt Duffy | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Blue Jays vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Dairon Blanco | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Matt Duffy | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| George Springer | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
Blue Jays vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Dairon Blanco | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Duffy | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yusei Kikuchi | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -110 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games (+8.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games (+6.34 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.84 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 48 games (+0.30 Units / 1% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 66 of their last 115 games (+13.39 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 64 games at home (+9.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 49 games (+5.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.14 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+1.30 Units / 9% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 59-82 against the Run Line (-34.85 Units / -20.65% ROI).
- 44-97 when betting on the Moneyline for -37.8 Units / -25.85% ROI
- 69-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -2.84% ROI
- 66-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -10 Units / -6.53% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 66-74 against the Run Line (-9.35 Units / -5.4% ROI).
- 77-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.95 Units / -5.38% ROI
- 60-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.35 Units / -13.42% ROI
- 74-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.55 Units / 4.89% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Collin Snider has a strikeout rate of just 9% (2 SO in 22 PAs) over the last 14 days (5 games) — 7th lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (6/43) against Collin Snider over the last 14 days (5 games) — tied for 7th lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 27% — eighth Percentile.
Collin Snider has not struck out a hitter in his last 32 PAs against a LHH dating back to September 22nd, 2022 — Dakota Hudson has the longest active streak at 43.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 6% (1/17) against Collin Snider — 6th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — second Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.1 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (123 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Right-handed batters are hitting .263 (114-for-434) against Yusei Kikuchi this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — 17th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has a strikeout rate of 33% (41 SO in 124 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
65% of Yusei Kikuchi’s called strikeouts are low this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 90th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Royals are just 5-41 (.109) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
The Royals are just 9-82 (.099) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Royals are just 1-8 (.111) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 4-17 (.190) after a road win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Blue Jays are 17-11 (.607) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Blue Jays are 70-28 (.714) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Blue Jays are just 8-45 (.151) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .221.
The Blue Jays are 11-5 (.688) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (2,512 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .297 (3,828 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Royals are just 5-41 (.109) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
The Royals are just 9-82 (.099) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 225 strikeouts in 1,236 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .375 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Blue Jays are batting .266 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Blue Jays are batting .263 on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have picked-off 16 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 180 of 2,709 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 838 of 11,337 batters (7%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
- Otto Lopez (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Brandon Belt (Blue Jays): Back, Day-to-Day
- Matt Chapman (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Erik Swanson (Blue Jays): Spine, D15
- Hagen Danner (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- John McMillon (Royals): Forearm, D15
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D60
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D60
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