Royals vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 28

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  • The Braves are -150 favorites vs the Royals
  • Royals vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Royals / Braves TV Channel: FOX

The Kansas City Royals (+125) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-150) on March 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Royals are 0-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 1-0 ATS.

Royals vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Royals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 -165O 8.5 -115+125
Braves -1.5 +140U 8.5 -105-150

Royals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 away games (+11.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.45 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+7.50 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Drake Baldwin has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+18.30 Units / 183% ROI)
  • Ozzie Albies has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Dominic Smith has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.50 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 97 of their last 161 games (+27.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 87 of their last 154 games (+14.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 69 away games (+12.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 69 away games (+9.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 68 away games (+8.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 44 games at home (+17.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 72 games at home (+12.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 47 games (+11.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 71 games at home (+9.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 49 games (+6.45 Units / 10% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 0-1 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 1-0 against the Run Line (+1.55 Units / 155% ROI).

  • 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 71.43% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Braves vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Ronald Acuna (ATL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -625
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Mike Yastrzemski (ATL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Braves vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Maikel Garcia (KC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Ronald Acuna (ATL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Drake Baldwin (ATL) 0.5 -235 0.5 +180
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Michael Harris (ATL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Braves vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Braves vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Michael Wacha (KC) 3.5 -155 3.5 +120
Reynaldo Lopez (ATL) 4.5 +105 4.5 -135

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Royals were 73-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Royals were 34-8 (.810) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .699.

The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.

The Royals were just 4-64 (.059) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Braves were just 21-74 (.221) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

The Braves were just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Braves were 10-67 (.130) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Braves are just 14-71 (.165) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

Royals hitters struck out in just 18% of their PA’s in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Royals hitters struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Royals hitters slugged just .356 against LHP in the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

The Royals batted just .281 in hitter’s counts in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Braves hitters slugged .501 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.

Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.

Braves hitters had an OPS of .870 (1,425 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .742.

The Braves batted .355 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Royals pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.7 MPH (4,135 batted balls) in the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

The Royals pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.7 MPH in the 2025 season (4,135 balls in play) — tied for best in MLB

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .227 against Royals pitchers with runners on base in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Braves pitchers in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2023 season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.