Royals vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 10

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St. Louis Cardinals' Jordan Walker warms up before a baseball game against the Milwaukee Brewers Thursday, Sept. 28, 2023, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
(AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 10, 2024, 11:02 AM
  • The Cardinals are -135 favorites vs the Royals
  • Royals vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Royals / Cardinals TV Channel: BSKC | BSMW

The Kansas City Royals (+115) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-135) on Wednesday, July 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Royals are 49-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 46-44 ATS.

Royals vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh 6-6, 4.59 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 4-3, 3.97 ERA

Royals vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 -185O 8.5 -105+115
Cardinals -1.5 +150U 8.5 -115-135

Royals vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.25 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.80 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+14.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+11.70 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+19.50 Units / 150% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.40 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 88 games (+5.09 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+9.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+9.15 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+6.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games (+5.50 Units / 16% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 51-41 against the Run Line (+1.49 Units / 1.18% ROI).

  • 49-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.8 Units / 4.31% ROI
  • 38-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.8 Units / -16.81% ROI
  • 50-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.1 Units / 8.07% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 46-44 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -0.58% ROI).

  • 48-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -1.74% ROI
  • 40-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.75 Units / -9.94% ROI
  • 45-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 1.07% ROI

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (525/1,083) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (189/385) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 98th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has allowed an OBP of just .242 (351 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 100th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has allowed an OPS of just .465 (135 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .686 — 98th Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 59% (115 SO in 196 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .302 (122 Total Bases / 404 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .387 — 96th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 55% (62 SO in 112 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed an OBP of just .210 (195 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 98th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Royals are just 20-96 (.172) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.

The Royals are just 15-33 (.312) after a road win since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .480.

The Royals are just 25-42 (.373) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.

The Royals are just 18-33 (.353) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Cardinals are just 4-21 (.160) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.

The Cardinals are 42-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .943.

The Cardinals are just 22-60 (.268) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .379.

The Cardinals are 33-15 (.688) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (4,544 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Royals have won just 53% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .625 (1,051 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .713.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .288 (1,051 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .373 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .337 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.

Royals pitchers have an ERA of 2.81 (227.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The average home run distance against the Royals pitchers since last season is 404.2 feet — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 398.6

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Cardinals vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
  • Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
  • Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
  • Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
  • Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
  • Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
  • Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.