Royals vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 15

In this general view, the St. Louis Cardinals play the Washington Nationals in a baseball game at Busch Stadium Wednesday, April 14, 2021, in St. Louis. (AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)
(AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)
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  • The Royals are -105 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Royals vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
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The Kansas City Royals (-105) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-115) on May 15, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15 pm in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Royals are 19-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 27-15 ATS.

Royals vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 4-2, 2.65 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Dustin May 3-4, 4.97 ERA

Royals vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals-1.5 +155O 8.5 -105-105
Cardinals +1.5 -190U 8.5 -115-115

Royals vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+15.60 Units / 156% ROI)
  • Isaac Collins has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Carter Jensen has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.60 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 away games (+10.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.55 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • JJ Wetherholt has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+15.60 Units / 156% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+14.10 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.30 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 away games (+11.20 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 away games (+7.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+1.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 19 games (+1.70 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+11.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+9.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+7.40 Units / 31% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 19-24 against the Run Line (-8.05 Units / -13.9% ROI).

  • 19-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.2 Units / -19.07% ROI
  • 20-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.25 Units / -12.91% ROI
  • 24-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.15 Units / 4.44% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 27-15 against the Run Line (+4.9 Units / 7.58% ROI).

  • 25-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.85 Units / 27.12% ROI
  • 19-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.2 Units / -8.89% ROI
  • 21-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.15 Units / -0.32% ROI

Cardinals vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Jordan Walker +425
Nolan Gorman +450
Vinnie Pasquantino +450
Salvador Perez +475
JJ Wetherholt +500

Cardinals vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Burleson 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ivan Herrera 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jordan Walker 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Salvador Perez 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Vinnie Pasquantino 0.5 -220 0.5 +165

Cardinals vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jac Caglianone 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Jordan Walker 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Isaac Collins 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Michael Wacha 3.5 -200 3.5 +145
Pedro Pages 0.5 -150 0.5 +110

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Royals are just 14-4 (.778) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Royals are just 1-11 (.083) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Royals are just 6-15 (.286) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .457.

The Royals are just 8-16 (.333) after a loss this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .476.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Cardinals are 3-15 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Cardinals are just 6-9 (.400) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Royals (21st in runs scored).

The Cardinals are 30-19 (.612) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.

The Cardinals were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

33% of Royals hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Royals hitters are slugging just .171 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters have an OPS of .785 (874 PA’s) at home this season — 5th best in MLB.

Royals hitters are slugging just .219 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have put 39% of their swings in play against LHP this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .250 on pitches out of the zone this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Cardinals are batting just .209 with two outs this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Royals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have picked-off 8 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.