- The Cardinals are -175 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals starting pitcher: Joshua Staumont
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Kansas City Royals (+145) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-175) on Monday, May 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Royals vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 16-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 25-30 ATS.
Royals vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -125 | O 9.5 -115 | +145 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +105 | U 9.5 -105 | -175 |
Royals vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 84.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 46 games (+8.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.15 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+11.75 Units / 59% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.55 Units / 56% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.35 Units / 48% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+9.85 Units / 16% ROI)
Cardinals vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Cardinals vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Cardinals vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Cardinals vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Wainwright | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +120 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 away games (+7.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 away games (+3.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 20 games (+2.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+1.00 Units / 20% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+7.55 Units / 54% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 51 games (+6.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 51 games (+5.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.30 Units / 41% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 20-34 against the Run Line (-19.1 Units / -28.9% ROI).
- 16-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.5 Units / -31.11% ROI
- 24-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -7 Units / -11.75% ROI
- 28-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.5 Units / 2.53% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 25-30 against the Run Line (-8.55 Units / -11.92% ROI).
- 24-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.95 Units / -23.22% ROI
- 27-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.55 Units / -2.57% ROI
- 26-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.75 Units / -6.18% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .125 (5-for-40) against Josh Staumont on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .329 — 100th Percentile.
Josh Staumont has walked 39 of 247 batters (16%) since last season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — second Percentile.
Josh Staumont has walked 8 of 40 right-handed batters (20%) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Josh Staumont has walked 39 of 247 batters (16%) since last season — 4th highest among in MLB; League Avg: 9% — fourth Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (18/155) against Adam Wainwright this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown breaking pitches 58% of the time (432/749) when behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has a first-pitch strike rate of just 47% (25/53) over the last 14 days (2 games) — lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has a strikeout rate of just 6% (3 SO in 53 PAs) over the last 14 days (2 games) — lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Royals are just 5-59 (.078) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .350.
The Royals are just 1-18 (.053) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.
The Royals are just 16-33 (.327) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Royals are just 4-11 (.267) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Cardinals are just 18-4 (.818) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Cardinals are just 16-4 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The Cardinals are 23-5 (.821) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 5-7 (.417) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .582.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 28% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 32% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .282 (1,451 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 30% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .464 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .805 (1,842 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .742 (2,558 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .689.
The Cardinals are just 18-36 (.321) against the run line (-39.1% ROI) after a road win since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .509.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 64 of 466 batters (14%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Royals pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .326 against Royals pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Ankle, D10
- Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Back, Day-to-Day
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D15
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