- The Cardinals are -190 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals starting pitcher: Donald Greinke
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Kansas City Royals (+160) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-190) on Tuesday, May 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Royals vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 17-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 25-31 ATS.
Royals vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -125 | O 9 -120 | +160 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +105 | U 9 +100 | -190 |
Royals vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 78.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+13.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 47 games (+9.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 39 games (+8.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.15 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Willson Contreras has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+10.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 21 games at home (+10.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+9.65 Units / 66% ROI)
Cardinals vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
Cardinals vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Cardinals vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Cardinals vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Greinke | 2.5 -155 | 2.5 +115 |
| Miles Mikolas | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +115 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 away games (+8.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 21 games (+3.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 away games (+2.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+2.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.45 Units / 35% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 52 games (+7.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 52 games (+6.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.00 Units / 28% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 21-34 against the Run Line (-18.1 Units / -26.89% ROI).
- 17-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.95 Units / -27.86% ROI
- 24-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.05 Units / -13.27% ROI
- 29-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.5 Units / 4.14% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 25-31 against the Run Line (-9.55 Units / -13.14% ROI).
- 24-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.65 Units / -24.97% ROI
- 27-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -4.23% ROI
- 27-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -4.45% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 10% (18/176) against Zack Greinke this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Zack Greinke has walked 4 of 103 left-handed batters (4%) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 92nd Percentile.
Zack Greinke has walked 8 of 236 batters (3%) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 32% (26/82) against Zack Greinke this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 14% (29/201) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (18/122) against Miles Mikolas with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 14% (40/281) against Miles Mikolas this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (80/512) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Royals are just 1-18 (.053) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .391.
The Royals are just 5-59 (.078) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .351.
The Royals are just 17-38 (.309) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 6-11 (.353) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Cardinals are just 18-4 (.818) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Cardinals are 23-5 (.821) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 16-4 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The Cardinals are just 16-5 (.762) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 28% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 31% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Royals are batting just .197 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .288 (1,496 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .803 (1,845 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .463 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .341 (1,845 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Royals have won just 11% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Royals have won just 6% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Royals pitchers have walked 805 of 8,360 batters (10%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Ankle, D10
- Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Back, Day-to-Day
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Woodford (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D15
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