- The Cubs are -225 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele
- Watch the game on MARQ
The Kansas City Royals (+180) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-225) on Saturday, August 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Royals vs Cubs Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 40-84 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 63-58 ATS.
Royals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -105 | O 9.5 -115 | +180 |
| Cubs | -1.5 -115 | U 9.5 -105 | -225 |
Royals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 77.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jordan Lyles has hit the Earned Runs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+11.75 Units / 62% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+10.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.35 Units / 74% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 45 games (+23.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 48 games (+20.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 46 games (+19.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 46 games (+19.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+17.55 Units / 41% ROI)
Cubs vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Dairon Blanco | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Matt Duffy | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Cubs vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Dairon Blanco | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Matt Duffy | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Cubs vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Dairon Blanco | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Duffy | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Cubs vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
| Justin Steele | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.14 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.64 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 34 games (+3.55 Units / 9% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.54 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 43 games at home (+10.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games (+5.59 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 56 games (+5.19 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+4.70 Units / 22% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 54-70 against the Run Line (-26.7 Units / -17.81% ROI).
- 40-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.45 Units / -22.44% ROI
- 59-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.55 Units / -6.29% ROI
- 61-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -2.93% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 63-58 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 0.26% ROI).
- 62-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -0.73% ROI
- 62-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 2.26% ROI
- 53-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.8 Units / -11.28% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer has an ERA of 6.88 (35.1 IP) against division opponents this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.90 — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .087 (2-for-23) against Brady Singer — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .246 — 98th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown inside pitches 39% of the time (869/2,219) this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 52% (65/124) against Brady Singer on low breaking pitches this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — second Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 49% of the time (255/522) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (629/1,306) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (629/1,306) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 49% of the time (255/522) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Royals are just 9-76 (.106) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Royals are just 5-35 (.125) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.
The Royals are just 15-16 (.484) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .690.
The Royals are just 1-8 (.111) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Cubs are just 30-40 (.429) after a home loss since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Cubs are just 4-8 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 3-124 (.024) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Cubs are just 25-31 (.446) after a loss as favorites since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Royals have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals have won just 53% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals are batting .251 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .175.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.07 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Cubs hitters have been successful in 89% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .332 (4,647 PA’s) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 76 of 1,073 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.2 MPH (3,019 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (11 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Cubs have won 43% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Cubs vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D60
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Rib, D15
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Donald Greinke (Royals): Elbow, D15
- Nicholas Pratto (Royals): Groin, D10
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D60
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Maikel Garcia (Royals): Upper Body, Day-to-Day
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D60
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