- The Cubs are -225 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles
- Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks
- Watch the game on MARQ
The Kansas City Royals (+180) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-225) on Sunday, August 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Royals vs Cubs Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 40-85 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 64-58 ATS.
Royals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -105 | O 9 -105 | +180 |
| Cubs | -1.5 -115 | U 9 -115 | -225 |
Royals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 79.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+13.40 Units / 67% ROI)
- Jordan Lyles has hit the Earned Runs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+10.30 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 46 games (+24.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+20.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 47 games (+20.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 49 games (+19.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 40 games (+16.40 Units / 37% ROI)
Cubs vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Miguel Amaya | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Cubs vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Nico Hoerner | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -210 |
| Miguel Amaya | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
Cubs vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Miguel Amaya | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Cubs vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Hendricks | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Jordan Lyles | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 21 games (+12.14 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.39 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 35 games (+2.55 Units / 7% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games (+12.54 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 44 games at home (+11.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 26 games (+6.59 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 57 games (+6.24 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+5.70 Units / 24% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 54-71 against the Run Line (-27.75 Units / -18.38% ROI).
- 40-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.45 Units / -23.04% ROI
- 60-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.55 Units / -5.51% ROI
- 61-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.1 Units / -3.75% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 64-58 against the Run Line (+1.4 Units / 0.9% ROI).
- 63-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.03% ROI
- 63-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 2.98% ROI
- 53-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.95 Units / -12.05% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Lyles has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 50% (654/1,297) of the time since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of just .137 (7 Total Bases / 51 ABs) on fastballs away this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .367 — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed an OPS of 1.127 (119 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .716 — first Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has an ERA of 6.30 (131.1 IP)this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.96 — first Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.4 MPH on fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.0 MPH on fastballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 84.9 MPH (299 batted balls) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 89.2 — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters had a groundball rate of just 16% (10/61) against Max Scherzer when he was behind in the count in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 0 Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Royals are just 1-8 (.111) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 27-26 (.509) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Royals are just 12-37 (.245) after a road win since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .490.
The Royals are just 12-25 (.324) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .612.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Cubs are just 4-8 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 3-124 (.024) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Cubs are just 16-22 (.421) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are 56-4 (.933) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Royals have won just 45% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 70%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 37% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have been successful in 89% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .360 (532 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have picked-off 16 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 76 of 1,082 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 11% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.2 MPH (3,019 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Cubs vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D60
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Rib, D15
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Donald Greinke (Royals): Elbow, D15
- Nicholas Pratto (Royals): Groin, D10
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D60
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Maikel Garcia (Royals): Upper Body, Day-to-Day
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D60
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