- The Cubs are -145 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Cubs Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Royals / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | FDKC | MLBN
The Kansas City Royals (+115) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-140) on Monday, July 21, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Royals are 48-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 49-50 ATS.
Royals vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Noah Cameron 3-4, 2.32 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Ryan Brasier 0-0, 1.06 ERA
Royals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -185 | O 7.5 -102 | +115 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +150 | U 7.5 -118 | -140 |
Royals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+17.40 Units / 174% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+11.20 Units / 112% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+8.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+7.60 Units / 14% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+12.75 Units / 127% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+7.85 Units / 31% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 69 of their last 100 games (+36.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 92 games (+19.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 38 away games (+18.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 59 of their last 99 games (+15.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 37 away games (+12.90 Units / 31% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 47 games at home (+16.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 93 games (+14.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+8.45 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 46 games (+8.40 Units / 17% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 51-49 against the Run Line (-10.05 Units / -7.1% ROI).
- 48-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -4.07% ROI
- 39-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.17 Units / -23.98% ROI
- 60-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.05 Units / 15.38% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 49-50 against the Run Line (-0.58 Units / -0.49% ROI).
- 59-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.25 Units / 8.58% ROI
- 49-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.05% ROI
- 45-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -9 Units / -8.22% ROI
Cubs vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Carson Kelly (CHC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Cubs vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Cubs vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Carson Kelly (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Cubs vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brasier (CHC) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Noah Cameron (KC) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Noah Cameron has allowed a slugging percentage of just .118 (6 Total Bases / 51 ABs) on sliders this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .386 — 100th Percentile.
Noah Cameron has allowed a slugging percentage of just .201 (31 Total Bases / 154 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .370 — 100th Percentile.
Noah Cameron has a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (38/71) this month (3 games) — 2nd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Noah Cameron has allowed a slugging percentage of just .100 (9 Total Bases / 90 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .307 — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 100% (5/5) against Ryan Brasier in his last two appearances — tied for highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Ryan Brasier allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (15 Total Bases / 15 ABs) on low fastballs in 2023 — 2nd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: .409 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .171 (7-for-41) against Ryan Brasier on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .333 — 100th Percentile.
Ryan Brasier has pitched 12.1 straight innings without allowing an earned run — David Bednar has the longest active streak at 18.1.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are 14-2 (.875) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
The Royals are just 12-23 (.343) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Cubs (Ranks first runs scored) today.
The Royals are just 28-51 (.354) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Cubs (Ranks first runs scored) today.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Cubs are 29-10 (.744) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Cubs are 26-6 (.812) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Cubs are 74-43 (.632) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Cubs are 31-5 (.861) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OBP of just .238 (240 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Cubs are 29-10 (.744) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
Cubs hitters have drawn walks in 5% of their PA’s against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs hitters are slugging .464 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Royals pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 72% of the time over the past seven days (3 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. over the past seven days (3 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
The Royals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
The Royals have won just 19% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Cubs pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs pitchers have picked-off 13 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cubs pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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