- The Cubs are -275 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Cubs Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Royals / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | FDKC
The Kansas City Royals (+200) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-250) on Tuesday, July 22, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Royals are 49-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 49-51 ATS.
Royals vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Rich Hill 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd 10-3, 2.34 ERA
Royals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -102 | O 9 -115 | +200 |
| Cubs | -1.5 -118 | U 9 -105 | -250 |
Royals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 67.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+19.30 Units / 386% ROI)
- Jac Caglianone has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+18.20 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jac Caglianone has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+13.90 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jac Caglianone has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+11.55 Units / 115% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carson Kelly has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+15.80 Units / 158% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- Matthew Boyd has hit the Strikeouts Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Matthew Boyd has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.35 Units / 83% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 69 of their last 101 games (+35.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 39 away games (+19.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 93 games (+18.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 59 of their last 100 games (+14.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 38 away games (+14.15 Units / 34% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 games at home (+14.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 94 games (+12.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+9.45 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 48 games at home (+8.05 Units / 14% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 52-49 against the Run Line (-9.05 Units / -6.32% ROI).
- 49-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -2.97% ROI
- 40-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.17 Units / -22.86% ROI
- 60-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.85 Units / 14.14% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 49-51 against the Run Line (-1.58 Units / -1.32% ROI).
- 59-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.75 Units / 7.45% ROI
- 50-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 0.87% ROI
- 45-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.2 Units / -9.21% ROI
Cubs vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Carson Kelly (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Cubs vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Carson Kelly (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Cubs vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -140 |
| Carson Kelly (CHC) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Cubs vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rich Hill (KC) | 2.5 -140 | 2.5 +105 |
| Matthew Boyd (CHC) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Boyd has picked-off 7 runners this season — most among among NL Starters — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (77/232) against Matthew Boyd this season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 11th Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has picked-off 7 runners this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has thrown his changeup 37% of the time (102/279) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total CH; League Avg: 14% — 98th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are 21-3 (.875) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Royals are 15-2 (.882) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Royals are 44-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .957.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Cubs are 29-11 (.725) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Cubs are 26-6 (.812) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .635.
The Cubs are 59-41 (.590) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 2-29 (.065) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .123.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OBP of just .234 (245 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Cubs hitters are slugging .234 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .201.
Cubs hitters are slugging .449 against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .776 (2,764 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Royals pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 69% of the time over the past seven days (4 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. over the past seven days (4 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 3.49 (898.0 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.10.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 3.51 (441.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.26.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have picked-off 13 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.
Cubs pitchers have picked-off 14 runners this season — most in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cubs pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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