- The Diamondbacks are -145 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Royals / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | FDKC
The Kansas City Royals (+120) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-145) on Saturday, July 5, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ, AZ.
This season, the Royals are 42-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 41-47 ATS.
Royals vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 4-8, 3.63 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 4-2, 3.59 ERA
Royals vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -185 | O 9 -115 | +120 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +150 | U 9 -105 | -145 |
Royals vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.40 Units / 44% ROI)
- Michael Wacha has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.30 Units / 65% ROI)
- Nick Loftin has hit the Total Bases Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.15 Units / 85% ROI)
- Nick Loftin has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.10 Units / 84% ROI)
- Michael Wacha has hit the Strikeouts Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.50 Units / 64% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- James McCann has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+24.00 Units / 267% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- Pavin Smith has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+7.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Pavin Smith has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jake McCarthy has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 48% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 47-42 against the Run Line (-7.5 Units / -5.93% ROI).
- 42-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -6.51% ROI
- 35-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.57 Units / -24.52% ROI
- 53-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.65 Units / 16.05% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 41-47 against the Run Line (-9.76 Units / -8.84% ROI).
- 43-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.9 Units / -10.76% ROI
- 47-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.1 Units / 5.3% ROI
- 37-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.3 Units / -13.99% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Pavin Smith (ARI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Diamondbacks vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jonathan India (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Diamondbacks vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Diamondbacks vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryne Nelson (ARI) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Michael Wacha (KC) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .435 (27-for-62) against Michael Wacha on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — seventh Percentile.
Right handed batters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 31% (48/154) against Michael Wacha this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has allowed a slugging percentage of just .249 (44 Total Bases / 177 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .359 — 95th Percentile.
Hitters swung at 28% of Michael Wacha’s breaking pitches (128/452) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .160 (20-for-125) against Ryne Nelson this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 100th Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed an OPS of just .509 (139 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .732 — 97th Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .182 (12 Total Bases / 66 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .367 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .204 (40-for-196) against Ryne Nelson on pitches in the strike zone this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .278 — 99th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Royals are 18-2 (.900) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Royals are just 25-51 (.329) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Diamondbacks (Ranks third runs scored) today.
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 9-23 (.281) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Diamondbacks (Ranks third runs scored) today.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Diamondbacks are just 34-10 (.773) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .872.
The Diamondbacks are just 37-8 (.822) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Diamondbacks are 101-25 (.795) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Diamondbacks are 34-10 (.773) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .781 (6,750 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .342 (4,825 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Diamondbacks hitters have put 41% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 3.47 (791.2 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.08.
Batters facing the Royals pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 36% of the time over the past seven days (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. over the past seven days (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Batters facing the Royals pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 45% of the time over the last 14 days — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. over the last 14 days — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
The Royals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have an ERA of 4.77 (785.1 IP) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.08.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a in-zone of just 49% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
More MLB Reading:
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