- The Diamondbacks are -155 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Royals / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | FDKC
The Kansas City Royals (+130) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-155) on Sunday, July 6, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ, AZ.
This season, the Royals are 42-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 42-47 ATS.
Royals vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 4-8, 4.96 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Anthony DeSclafani 0-0, 4.83 ERA
Royals vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -160 | O 9.5 -115 | +130 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +135 | U 9.5 -105 | -155 |
Royals vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jac Caglianone has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jac Caglianone has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+14.95 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jac Caglianone has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+13.75 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jac Caglianone has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.10 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- James McCann has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+23.00 Units / 230% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 42% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 63 of their last 90 games (+34.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 34 away games (+18.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 55 of their last 89 games (+18.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 82 games (+18.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 away games (+13.15 Units / 36% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 73 games (+16.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 73 games (+14.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+12.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+8.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 48 games (+3.60 Units / 6% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 47-43 against the Run Line (-8.05 Units / -6.23% ROI).
- 42-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -6.39% ROI
- 35-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.67 Units / -24.07% ROI
- 54-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.55 Units / 15.6% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 42-47 against the Run Line (-9.66 Units / -8.56% ROI).
- 44-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -13 Units / -10.63% ROI
- 47-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 5.08% ROI
- 38-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.4 Units / -13.77% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Pavin Smith (ARI) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Diamondbacks vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jonathan India (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Diamondbacks vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Pavin Smith (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Diamondbacks vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony DeSclafani (ARI) | 2.5 -150 | 2.5 +110 |
| Michael Lorenzen (KC) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .315 (17-for-54) against Michael Lorenzen’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .212 — third Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of .488 (179 Total Bases / 367 ABs) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .389 — third Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has a strikeout rate of just 16% (10 SO in 61 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 13th Percentile.
72% of Michael Lorenzen’s called strikeouts are low this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — 92nd Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .062 (1-for-16) against Anthony DeSclafani in his last two appearances — tied for 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 96th Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani has a first-pitch in-zone of just 39% (7/18) over the last 14 days — tied for 7th lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 57% — eighth Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani has thrown just 44% of his pitches in the strike zone (31/70) over the last 14 days — 8th lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 52% — seventh Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani has allowed a slugging percentage of just .125 (2 Total Bases / 16 ABs) over the last 14 days — 10th best in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .382 — 91st Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Royals are just 9-24 (.273) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Diamondbacks (Ranks third runs scored) today.
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 11-49 (.183) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Royals were just 5-28 (.152) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Diamondbacks are just 40-4 (.909) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .957.
The Diamondbacks are 20-10 (.667) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Royals (Ranks 30th runs scored) today.
The Diamondbacks are 35-10 (.778) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Diamondbacks are just 38-8 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .630 (1,564 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .468 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .782 (6,780 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .347 (3,080 PA’s) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Royals pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 28% of the time over the past seven days (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. over the past seven days (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Batters facing the Royals pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 42% of the time over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
The Royals have allowed 3.71 runs per game (334/90) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.38.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 7% of innings played this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 3% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
More MLB Reading:
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