- The Mariners are -185 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller
- Watch the game on Apple TV+
The Kansas City Royals (+150) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-185) on Friday, August 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Royals vs Mariners Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 41-88 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 65-62 ATS.
Royals vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -135 | O 8 -105 | +150 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +110 | U 8 -115 | -185 |
Royals vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 75.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+14.45 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jordan Lyles has hit the Earned Runs Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+11.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 away games (+11.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+11.60 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 35 games (+14.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 28 games (+13.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 32 games (+12.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+11.40 Units / 114% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 41 games (+10.50 Units / 22% ROI)
Mariners vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Cade Marlowe | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Freddy Fermin | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Mariners vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -250 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Cade Marlowe | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Freddy Fermin | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Mariners vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Cade Marlowe | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Freddy Fermin | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Mariners vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Miller | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
| Brady Singer | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.59 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.69 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.55 Units / 34% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 47 games (+15.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+14.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 26 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.68 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 48 games (+7.49 Units / 13% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 56-73 against the Run Line (-28.45 Units / -18.25% ROI).
- 41-88 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.6 Units / -23.86% ROI
- 62-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.9 Units / -5.58% ROI
- 63-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.25 Units / -3.74% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 65-62 against the Run Line (+1.85 Units / 1.14% ROI).
- 71-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -0.39% ROI
- 64-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -1.45% ROI
- 60-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.8 Units / -7.06% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have chased just 58 of Brady Singer’s 462 fastballs out of the zone (13%) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Brady Singer has an ERA of 6.88 (35.1 IP) against division opponents this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.93 — second Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown his slider 51% of the time (648/1,268) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 52% (78/150) against Brady Singer on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — second Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .249 (42-for-169) against Bryce Miller in non-two strike counts this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 99th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has thrown fastballs 67% of the time (1,009/1,499) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 98th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has thrown fastballs 70% of the time (557/793) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 99th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has allowed an OBP of just .235 (255 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .312 — 100th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Royals are just 28-27 (.509) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Royals are just 12-26 (.316) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .613.
The Royals are just 9-79 (.102) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Royals are just 5-38 (.116) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Mariners are 40-3 (.930) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Mariners are 22-1 (.957) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .787.
The Mariners are 31-14 (.689) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .562.
The Mariners are 9-113 (.074) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals have won just 45% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 70%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Royals have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Mariners are batting just .122 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .172 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Mariners hitters have 306 strikeouts in 1,159 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have picked-off 16 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Royals have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 318 of 4,705 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 8 of 223 batters (4%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 81 of 1,144 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Emerson Hancock (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Thumb, D10
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Jarred Kelenic (Mariners): Foot, D10
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Nicholas Pratto (Royals): Groin, D10
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D60
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D60
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