- The Mariners are -250 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Kansas City Royals (+190) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-250) on Saturday, August 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Royals vs Mariners Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 41-89 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 66-62 ATS.
Royals vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 +100 | O 8.5 -105 | +190 |
| Mariners | -1.5 -120 | U 8.5 -115 | -250 |
Royals vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 83.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jordan Lyles has hit the Earned Runs Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units / 54% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+12.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.70 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+15.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 36 games (+15.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+13.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+11.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+11.15 Units / 26% ROI)
Mariners vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Dominic Canzone | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Mariners vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -250 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Dominic Canzone | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mariners vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Dominic Canzone | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Mariners vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
| Jordan Lyles | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games (+10.59 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.69 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+5.35 Units / 12% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 48 games (+16.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+15.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.68 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 60 games at home (+8.55 Units / 11% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 56-74 against the Run Line (-29.8 Units / -18.95% ROI).
- 41-89 when betting on the Moneyline for -32.6 Units / -24.43% ROI
- 63-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.9 Units / -4.84% ROI
- 63-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.35 Units / -4.49% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 66-62 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 1.83% ROI).
- 72-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.17% ROI
- 65-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -0.74% ROI
- 60-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.9 Units / -7.79% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Lyles allowed a batting average of .379 vs right-handed batters (second worst)– third Percentile and just .143 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for fourth best among qualified SPs)– 94th Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .966 (28 Total Bases / 29 ABs) against right-handed batters — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .400 — first Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has an ERA of 6.90 (74.1 IP) on the road this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 4.13 — second Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has an ERA of 6.20 (139.1 IP)this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.93 — first Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .289 against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 10th best among qualified SPs– 83rd Percentile. Opponents batted .476 (39-for-82) against him on the first pitch of at-bats last season — worst among qualified SPs– second Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .188 (165 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has walked 27 of 596 batters (4%) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 93rd Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .183 (323 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 98th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Royals are just 12-26 (.316) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .614.
The Royals are just 5-39 (.114) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .386.
The Royals are just 12-29 (.293) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Royals are just 9-80 (.101) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Mariners are 38-4 (.905) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Mariners are 78-10 (.886) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Mariners are 40-3 (.930) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Mariners are 72-56 (.562) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 45% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 70%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .282 (2,445 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .121 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .172 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Mariners are batting just .116 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Mariners hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have picked-off 16 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 321 of 4,744 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 176 of 2,611 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Emerson Hancock (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Thumb, D10
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Jarred Kelenic (Mariners): Foot, D10
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Nicholas Pratto (Royals): Groin, D10
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D60
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D60
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