- The Mariners are -300 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Kansas City Royals (+230) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-300) on Sunday, August 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+100).
The Royals vs Mariners Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 41-90 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 67-62 ATS.
Royals vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +2.5 -120 | O 8 -105 | +230 |
| Mariners | -2.5 +100 | U 8 -115 | -300 |
Royals vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 86.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jordan Lyles has hit the Earned Runs Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+14.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 16 away games (+13.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 26 games (+12.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+11.75 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+14.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 37 games (+12.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 39 games (+12.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+12.05 Units / 100% ROI)
Mariners vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -550 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| Dominic Canzone | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Mariners vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Dominic Canzone | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Mariners vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Dominic Canzone | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Marsh | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
| Luis Castillo | 6.5 -150 | 6.5 +115 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games (+9.59 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games (+8.44 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 38 games (+4.35 Units / 10% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 49 games (+17.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 47 games (+16.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.68 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.59 Units / 17% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 56-75 against the Run Line (-30.8 Units / -19.46% ROI).
- 41-90 when betting on the Moneyline for -33.6 Units / -24.99% ROI
- 64-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.9 Units / -4.1% ROI
- 63-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -5.2% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 67-62 against the Run Line (+4 Units / 2.42% ROI).
- 73-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 0.71% ROI
- 66-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.03% ROI
- 60-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.95 Units / -8.48% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Noah Syndergaard allowed 30 stolen bases in 2022 — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Alec Marsh has a strikeout rate of 62% (15 SO in 24 PAs) with two-strikes — tied for 8th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 90th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard had third base stolen on him 5 times in 2022 — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted .562 (9-for-16) against Noah Syndergaard in close and late situations in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .255 — first Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .108 (15-for-139) against Luis Castillo’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .224 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (35/195) against Luis Castillo this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 31% (412/1,325) against Luis Castillo this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 91st Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (84/232) against Luis Castillo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 94th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Royals are just 9-80 (.101) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Royals are just 28-27 (.509) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Royals are just 18-49 (.269) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .476.
The Royals are just 5-39 (.114) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .386.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Mariners are 79-10 (.888) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Mariners are 23-1 (.958) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Mariners are 71-25 (.740) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Mariners are 30-28 (.517) after a win as underdogs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 36% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 31% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .122 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Mariners hitters are slugging 1.034 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .579.
Mariners hitters have an OPS of .933 (568 PA’s) over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .751.
The Mariners are batting just .117 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have picked-off 16 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have allowed a run 38% of the time after an opposing score since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Royals pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 323 of 4,778 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 176 of 2,620 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 81 of 1,162 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a swing rate of 51% against the Mariners pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Mariners vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Emerson Hancock (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Thumb, D10
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Jarred Kelenic (Mariners): Foot, D10
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Nicholas Pratto (Royals): Groin, D10
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D60
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D60
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