- The Mariners are -175 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Royals / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | FDKC
The Kansas City Royals (+145) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-175) on Wednesday, July 2, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Royals are 40-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 37-47 ATS.
Royals vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Noah Cameron 2-4, 2.79 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 2-2, 3.55 ERA
Royals vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -150 | O 7 -110 | +145 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +125 | U 7 -110 | -175 |
Royals vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 61.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jac Caglianone has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jac Caglianone has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jac Caglianone has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jac Caglianone has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+11.85 Units / 118% ROI)
- Jac Caglianone has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.35 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Donovan Solano has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games (+10.90 Units / 109% ROI)
- Logan Gilbert has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Walks Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 32% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 60 of their last 86 games (+32.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 30 away games (+16.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 78 games (+16.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 52 of their last 85 games (+15.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 away games (+12.90 Units / 40% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 73 games (+14.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 79 games (+8.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 32 games at home (+1.95 Units / 5% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 44-42 against the Run Line (-9.5 Units / -7.73% ROI).
- 40-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -6.73% ROI
- 34-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.47 Units / -22.84% ROI
- 51-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.65 Units / 14.34% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 37-47 against the Run Line (-11.2 Units / -10.66% ROI).
- 44-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -6.45% ROI
- 47-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.75 Units / 10.48% ROI
- 34-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.87 Units / -19% ROI
Mariners vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -275 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Mariners vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Mariners vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Noah Cameron (KC) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Logan Gilbert (SEA) | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -118 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .138 (15-for-109) against Noah Cameron’s non-fastballs this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .223 — 97th Percentile.
Noah Cameron has allowed a slugging percentage of just .081 (5 Total Bases / 62 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .304 — 99th Percentile.
Noah Cameron has allowed a BABIP of .197 this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .288 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .180 (23-for-128) against Noah Cameron this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 96th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .180 (378 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OPS of just .453 (378 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .672 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert allowed an OBP of just .236 (801 PA’s) in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has a strikeout rate of 37% (67 SO in 181 PAs) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Royals are 9-1 (.900) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Royals are 36-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .956.
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 2-36 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Mariners are 4-34 (.105) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Mariners are 12-1 (.923) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .809.
The Mariners are 30-2 (.938) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .809.
The Mariners were 58-5 (.921) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .630 (1,564 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .217 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of .343 (1,819 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
The Mariners are batting just .221 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
The Royals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Royals have allowed 3.68 runs per game (453/123) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.40.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 3.55 (363.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.24.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
More MLB Reading:
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