- The Royals are -125 favorites vs the Marlins
- Royals vs Marlins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Royals / Marlins TV Channel: FDFL | FDKC | KSMO | KCTV
The Kansas City Royals (-120) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+100) on Sunday, July 20, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Miami, FL, FL.
This season, the Royals are 47-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 58-39 ATS.
Royals vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Kris Bubic 7-6, 2.47 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Janson Junk 4-1, 2.70 ERA
Royals vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | -1.5 +145 | O 7.5 -118 | -120 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -175 | U 7.5 -102 | +100 |
Royals vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Royals vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Loftin has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+15.00 Units / 214% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.80 Units / 109% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+8.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+7.85 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games at home (+19.10 Units / 212% ROI)
- Agustin Ramirez has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+14.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Dane Myers has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Agustin Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Agustin Ramirez has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 50% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 69 of their last 99 games (+37.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 91 games (+20.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 37 away games (+17.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 59 of their last 98 games (+16.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 36 away games (+11.90 Units / 30% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+17.35 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 78 games (+15.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 60 games (+14.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 57 games (+10.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 49 games at home (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 50-49 against the Run Line (-11.5 Units / -8.19% ROI).
- 47-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -4.95% ROI
- 38-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.17 Units / -25.14% ROI
- 60-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.2 Units / 16.59% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 58-39 against the Run Line (+10.7 Units / 8.26% ROI).
- 46-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.05 Units / 7.87% ROI
- 46-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.9 Units / -9.19% ROI
- 50-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -0.47% ROI
Marlins vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Kyle Stowers (MIA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Marlins vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jonathan India (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Marlins vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Eric Wagaman (MIA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Marlins vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kris Bubic (KC) | 5.5 -118 | 5.5 -110 |
| Janson Junk (MIA) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -135 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (35/104) against Kris Bubic’s breaking pitches this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Kris Bubic has allowed a slugging percentage of just .198 (18 Total Bases / 91 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .346 — 93rd Percentile.
Kris Bubic has allowed an OBP of .340 (162 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 10th Percentile.
Kris Bubic has a strike rate of 67% (1,109/1,663) this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 86th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Janson Junk has walked 2% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 99th Percentile.
Janson Junk has a strike rate of 70% (492/703) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Janson Junk has allowed three-ball counts to 12% of batters he faced (23/197 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 99th Percentile.
Janson Junk has a strikeout rate of just 23% (5 SO in 22 PAs) with two-strikes in his last two starts — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — fourth Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Royals are 14-2 (.875) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Royals are 42-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .956.
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 2-41 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Marlins are just 71-18 (.798) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .863.
The Marlins are 9-39 (.188) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Marlins are just 40-66 (.377) after a win since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .501.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals hitters are slugging .946 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .584.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals hitters are slugging .637 against LHP this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters are averaging just 3.74 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.
Marlins hitters are averaging just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
The Marlins are batting .259 with two outs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 3.57 (423.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.27.
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
The Royals have won 38% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Royals have won just 19% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 518.2 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Marlins pitchers have walked 6% of batters over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Royals vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
