- The Orioles are -150 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals vs Orioles Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
- Royals / Orioles TV Channel: RYTV | MASN
The Kansas City Royals (+125) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-150) on July 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Royals are 38-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 44-48 ATS.
Royals vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Luinder Avila 4-3, 5.16 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Brandon Young 7-2, 3.41 ERA
Royals vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -155 | O 10.5 -118 | +125 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +125 | U 10.5 -102 | -150 |
Royals vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carter Jensen has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 25 games (+19.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- Carter Jensen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- Carter Jensen has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- Carter Jensen has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+9.00 Units / 150% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.60 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Brandon Young has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+6.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- Brandon Young has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 40-50 against the Run Line (-22.85 Units / -17.63% ROI).
- 38-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.05 Units / -18.23% ROI
- 45-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -6.3% ROI
- 47-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -2.15% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 44-48 against the Run Line (-6.65 Units / -5.56% ROI).
- 42-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.85 Units / -12.6% ROI
- 51-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.05 Units / 7.85% ROI
- 39-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.9 Units / -16.55% ROI
Orioles vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | +250 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | +310 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | +310 |
| Gunnar Henderson | +310 |
| Carter Jensen | +310 |
Orioles vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Carter Jensen | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jac Caglianone | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Pete Alonso | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Orioles vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Colton Cowser | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Samuel Basallo | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Dylan Beavers | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Salvador Perez | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Taylor Ward | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Royals are just 30-8 (.789) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The Royals are just 30-6 (.833) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Royals are just 18-37 (.327) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Royals are just 38-56 (.404) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Orioles are just 3-6 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 10-41 (.196) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Orioles are just 7-12 (.368) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 18-69 (.207) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters are slugging just .227 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .466 (1,821 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 36% on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Royals hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .166 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .235 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .480 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Orioles are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — 5th highest in MLB.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in late innings this season — lowest in MLB.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.41 (228.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in the first 5 innings this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Orioles pitchers are throwing just 3.82 pitches per plate appearance this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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