- The Orioles are + favorites vs the Royals
- Royals starting pitcher: Carlos Hernández
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Kansas City Royals (+) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+) on Sunday, June 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at + (+).
The Royals vs Orioles Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 18-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 39-25 ATS.
Royals vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | + + | O + | + |
| Orioles | + + | U + | + |
Royals vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 73.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Royals vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+15.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+11.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+9.75 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 29 games (+12.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 28 games (+11.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+10.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+9.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
Orioles vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
Orioles vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -210 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Aaron Hicks | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Orioles vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Aaron Hicks | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Salvador Perez | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Josh Lester | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 games (+12.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.40 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 60 games (+8.95 Units / 13% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 61 games (+16.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+13.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 64 games (+7.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+7.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.65 Units / 30% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 24-40 against the Run Line (-22.5 Units / -28.64% ROI).
- 18-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.7 Units / -35.14% ROI
- 26-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.5 Units / -19.26% ROI
- 36-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.1 Units / 10.04% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 39-25 against the Run Line (+12.3 Units / 15.1% ROI).
- 40-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.15 Units / 18.2% ROI
- 31-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -0.57% ROI
- 29-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.95 Units / -6.98% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .335 (65-for-194) against Carlos Hernandez since last season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: .224 — second Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .335 (65-for-194) against Carlos Hernandez since last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .227 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .222 (43-for-194) against Carlos Hernandez with two-strikes since last season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .150 — first Percentile.
Carlos Hernandez has an ERA of 6.29 (87.1 IP)since last season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 3.38 — first Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has allowed a just .296 SLG vs right-handed batters (seventh best)– 90th Percentile and .507 vs left-handed batters this season (eighth worst among qualified SPs)– 14th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .309 (47-for-152) against Kyle Gibson this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — seventh Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .224 (30-for-134) against Kyle Gibson with two-strikes this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — seventh Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has not allowed a home run in any of the last 34.2 innings he’s appeared — Aaron Loup has the longest active streak at 46.1.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Royals are just 5-63 (.074) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .352.
The Royals are just 1-22 (.043) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.
The Royals are just 11-9 (.550) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .787.
The Royals are just 5-17 (.227) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .611.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Orioles are 39-18 (.684) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Orioles are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 17-7 (.708) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Orioles are 21-9 (.700) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .286 (1,653 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .293 (2,351 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Royals are batting just .192 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 28% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting just .234 against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 64% on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 62% this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Orioles hitters have drawn 81 walks in 779 PA’s (10%) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Royals have won just 6% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Royals pitchers have walked 179 of 1,977 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have walked 24 of 388 batters (6%) over the last 14 days (11 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles have have still managed to win 46% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Mountcastle (Orioles): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- Boyce Mullins (Orioles): Groin, D10
- Amir Garrett (Royals): Elbow, D15
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D10
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D15
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