Royals vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 9

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 09, 2023, 3:33 PM
  • The Orioles are -185 favorites vs the Royals
  • Royals starting pitcher: Daniel A. Lynch
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells
  • Watch the game on Apple TV+

The Kansas City Royals (+150) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-185) on Friday, June 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Royals vs Orioles Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Royals are 18-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 38-24 ATS.

Royals vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 -135O 8 -105+150
Orioles -1.5 +110U 8 -115-185

Royals vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 79.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+15.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Nick Pratto has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+11.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.25 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+9.15 Units / 46% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+12.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+10.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+10.35 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.05 Units / 33% ROI)

Orioles vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Nick Pratto 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Edward Olivares 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Michael Massey 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Aaron Hicks 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000

Orioles vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Nick Pratto 0.5 -120 0.5 -110
Edward Olivares 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Michael Massey 0.5 -140 0.5 +105
Aaron Hicks 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Orioles vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Nick Pratto 0.5 +280 0.5 -400
Edward Olivares 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Michael Massey 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Aaron Hicks 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Orioles vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Wells 5.5 -155 5.5 +120
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+10.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.40 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 58 games (+6.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 28 games (+1.80 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 59 games (+14.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 49 games (+13.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 62 games (+7.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+5.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.85 Units / 19% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 23-39 against the Run Line (-22 Units / -29.04% ROI).

  • 18-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.7 Units / -33.16% ROI
  • 26-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.35 Units / -16.7% ROI
  • 34-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.1 Units / 7.45% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 38-24 against the Run Line (+12 Units / 15.1% ROI).

  • 38-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.15 Units / 16.43% ROI
  • 31-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 2.57% ROI
  • 27-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.95 Units / -10.12% ROI

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 53% (69/130) against Daniel Lynch on breaking pitches since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .352 (25 GB hits out of 71 GBs) against Daniel Lynch with the shift since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: .223 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (42/138) against Daniel Lynch on breaking pitches since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (23/65) against Daniel Lynch on low breaking pitches since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tyler Wells has allowed an OBP of just .212 (146 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 97th Percentile.

Tyler Wells has allowed an OBP of just .224 (263 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Wells has allowed a BABIP of .149 against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .283 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .178 (44-for-247) against Tyler Wells this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 98th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Royals are just 1-20 (.048) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.

The Royals are just 5-61 (.076) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .352.

The Royals are just 11-9 (.550) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .786.

The Royals are just 5-17 (.227) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .610.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Orioles are 17-7 (.708) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The Orioles are 17-4 (.810) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .593.

The Orioles are 36-11 (.766) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .648.

The Orioles are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Royals are batting just .193 with two outs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .279 (1,091 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 28% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .294 (2,280 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

The Orioles have a winning percentage of 64% on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .232 (4,493 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Orioles have scored 211 runs in close and late situations since last season — tied for most in MLB.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .482 (4,493 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.

Royals pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Royals have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The Royals have won just 6% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Royals pitchers have walked 817 of 8,608 batters (10%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Orioles have won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.59 (1499.0 IP) against division opponents since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.

Orioles vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Mychal Givens (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
  • Boyce Mullins (Orioles): Groin, D10
  • Amir Garrett (Royals): Elbow, D15
  • Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
  • Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
  • Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
  • Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.