- The Rangers are -300 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Kansas City Royals (+230) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-300) on Tuesday, April 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).
The Royals vs Rangers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 3-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 5-5 ATS.
Royals vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 +110 | O 8 -115 | +230 |
| Rangers | -1.5 -135 | U 8 -105 | -300 |
Royals vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Royals vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eli White has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Brad Miller has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Eli White has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.20 Units / 39% ROI)
Rangers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Joshua Jung | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Rangers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Joshua Jung | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Rangers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Joshua Jung | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Rangers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Lyles | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.40 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+1.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+1.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.90 Units / 26% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.60 Units / 17% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 3-8 against the Run Line (-6.7 Units / -48.03% ROI).
- 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.75 Units / -34.09% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -13.47% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 5.02% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 5-5 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -5.49% ROI).
- 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 9.13% ROI
- 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.55 Units / 13.6% ROI
- 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -21.6% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .243 (88-for-362) against Jordan Lyles with two-strikes in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .156 — second Percentile.
Jordan Lyles allowed a slugging percentage of .417 (151 Total Bases / 362 ABs) with two-strikes in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — second Percentile.
Jordan Lyles had a strike rate of just 60% (540/893) in two strike counts in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — second Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed 16 home runs with two-strikes since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of 46% (18 SO in 39 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of 75% (18 SO in 24 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
61% of Jacob deGrom’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has struck out 50% (12/24) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Royals are just 4-84 (.045) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Royals are just 4-44 (.083) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Royals were just 4-41 (.089) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Royals are just 33-34 (.493) when favorites since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rangers are just 32-48 (.400) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.
The Rangers are just 36-49 (.424) when favorites since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.
The Rangers are just 32-31 (.508) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Rangers are just 59-11 (.843) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .559 (380 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .248 (380 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .165 (201 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .254 (142 PA’s) with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have pulled just 30% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Rangers hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Rangers hitters slugged .567 against pitchers who had thrown at least 80 pitches in a game in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 37% on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Royals won just 6% of road games in which their opponents scored first in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have walked 4 of 97 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 10 double plays in 44 opportunities (23%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 147 of 1,528 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 609 of 6,524 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Leody Taveras (Rangers): Oblique, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Ankle, D15
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
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