Royals vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 22

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Texas Rangers' Adolis Garcia celebrates as he runs the bases after hitting a go-ahead, two-run home run off New York Yankees relief pitcher Michael King during the 10th inning of a baseball game Friday, June 23, 2023, in New York.
(AP Photo/John Minchillo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 22, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Rangers are -130 favorites vs the Royals
  • Royals vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Royals / Rangers TV Channel: BSKC | BSSW | ESPN+ | MLBN

The Kansas City Royals (+110) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-135) on Saturday, June 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Royals are 42-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 34-41 ATS.

Royals vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 4-5, 4.26 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jon Gray 2-3, 3.33 ERA

Royals vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 -185O 8 -105+110
Rangers -1.5 +150U 8 -125-135

Royals vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 26 games (+17.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+14.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+12.65 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+11.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 42 games (+10.65 Units / 17% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+19.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+15.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+12.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+12.40 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Josh H. Smith has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+11.25 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 73 games (+8.34 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 54 games (+3.50 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 71 games (+16.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games at home (+9.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games at home (+9.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.15 Units / 13% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 44-33 against the Run Line (+4.74 Units / 4.48% ROI).

  • 42-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.3 Units / 9.21% ROI
  • 34-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -9 Units / -10.75% ROI
  • 39-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.5 Units / 1.79% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 34-41 against the Run Line (-12.3 Units / -12.63% ROI).

  • 35-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.85 Units / -12.53% ROI
  • 27-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.5 Units / -25.92% ROI
  • 44-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.7 Units / 17.92% ROI

Rangers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +290 0.5 -375
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
MJ Melendez (KC) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600

Rangers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Rangers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Rangers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jon Gray (TEX) 4.5 -160 4.5 +125
Michael Wacha (KC) 3.5 -120 3.5 -105

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 51% of the time (155/306) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (25/92) against Michael Wacha this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.

Michael Wacha has allowed a slugging percentage of just .230 (23 Total Bases / 100 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .385 — 100th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (491/1,004) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 99th Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of 40% (105/262) against Jon Gray this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .446 (70-for-157) against Jon Gray on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: .342 — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of 38% (307/801) against Jon Gray since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .486 (52-for-107) against Jon Gray on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: .344 — first Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Royals are just 18-95 (.159) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.

The Royals are just 15-33 (.312) after a road win since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.

The Royals are 16-4 (.800) after a home win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .524.

The Royals are just 66-134 (.330) on the road since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Rangers are just 5-85 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.

The Rangers are just 3-177 (.017) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Rangers are just 90-60 (.600) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.

The Rangers are 39-24 (.619) after a home win since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .531.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .282 (4,374 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

The Royals have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.

The Royals have won just 53% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

Royals hitters have just 114 strikeouts in 654 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rangers hitters have 44 extra-base hits out of 199 total hits (just 22%) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Rangers hitters are slugging .462 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .232 (198 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 36% on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in late innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 274 of 2,807 batters (10%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Rangers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 46% of their games at home in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

Rangers pitchers have not walked any of the 52 batters that they have faced when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
  • Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
  • Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
  • Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.