Royals vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 18

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 18, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Rays (62-54) are -190 favorites vs the Royals (48-71)
  • Royals starting pitcher: Brad Keller (6-13), 4.92 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Luis Patiño (0-1), 6.75 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSUN

The Kansas City Royals (+155) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-190) on Thursday, August 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Royals vs Rays Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Royals are 48-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 56-60 ATS.

Royals vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 -135O 7.5 -105+155
Rays -1.5 +110U 7.5 -115-190

Royals vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Thursday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rays vs Royals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 23 away games (+12.45 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+12.30 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 13 away games (+10.55 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 away games (+10.20 Units / 71% ROI)

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Wander Franco has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+14.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Manuel Margot has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Ji-Man Choi has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+11.05 Units / 52% ROI)
  • David Peralta has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.30 Units / 43% ROI)

Rays vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Lowe 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
David Peralta 0.5 +375 0.5 -650
Harold Ramirez 0.5 +475 0.5 -1100
Ji-Man Choi 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

Rays vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Lowe 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
David Peralta 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Harold Ramirez 1.5 +195 1.5 -300
Ji-Man Choi 0.5 -160 0.5 +115

Rays vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Lowe 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
David Peralta 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Harold Ramirez 0.5 +135 0.5 -200
Ji-Man Choi 0.5 +180 0.5 -275

Rays vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Patino 3.5 -155 3.5 +110
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 65 games (+19.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 15 of their last 26 games (+7.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 46 games (+7.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 58 games (+6.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 away games (+4.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 37 games at home (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 5 games (+6.40 Units / 96% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+5.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+5.50 Units / 23% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 55-64 against the Run Line (-20.2 Units / -13% ROI).

  • 48-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.3 Units / -9.69% ROI
  • 58-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -3.6% ROI
  • 57-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -7 Units / -5.32% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 56-60 against the Run Line (-4.45 Units / -3.12% ROI).

  • 62-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -4.7% ROI
  • 52-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.05 Units / -7.19% ROI
  • 57-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -0.73% ROI

Opponents are hitting .388 (26-for-67) against Brad Keller this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 80% (12/15) against Brad Keller against right-handed batters — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .500 (20-for-40) against Brad Keller this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .245 — first Percentile.

Brad Keller has allowed an OPS of 1.097 (75 PA’s) this month (3 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .679 — first Percentile.

Luis Patiño: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Royals are just 3-31 (.088) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.

The Royals are just 6-51 (.105) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.

The Royals are just 1-56 (.018) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Royals are just 48-61 (.440) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Rays are 35-22 (.614) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Rays are 11-9 (.550) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are 39-7 (.848) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

The Rays are just 51-8 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .911.

Royals hitters have just 649 strikeouts in 3,311 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Royals hitters have put just 28% of their swings in play against LHP this month (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Royals hitters have just 548 strikeouts in 2,850 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters are slugging just .379 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .446.

Rays hitters have an OPS of just .628 (1,313 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .683.

Rays hitters have 787 strikeouts in 3,232 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rays hitters have grounded into 20 double plays in 352 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Rays have scored 1.71 runs per game (471/275) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.43.

The Royals have allowed 1.76 runs per game (209/119) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.

Royals pitchers have walked 449 of 4,608 batters (10%) this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rays pitchers have walked 54 of 1,038 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rays pitchers have walked 277 of 4,265 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 713 of 10,263 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 881 of 12,475 batters (7%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
  • Matthew Wisler (Rays): Neck, D15
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.