- The Rays (62-54) are -190 favorites vs the Royals (48-71)
- Royals starting pitcher: Brad Keller (6-13), 4.92 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Luis Patiño (0-1), 6.75 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSUN
The Kansas City Royals (+155) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-190) on Thursday, August 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Royals vs Rays Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Royals are 48-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 56-60 ATS.
Royals vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -135 | O 7.5 -105 | +155 |
| Rays | -1.5 +110 | U 7.5 -115 | -190 |
Royals vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Thursday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 23 away games (+12.45 Units / 53% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+12.30 Units / 63% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 13 away games (+10.55 Units / 79% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 away games (+10.20 Units / 71% ROI)
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Wander Franco has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+14.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ji-Man Choi has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+11.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.30 Units / 43% ROI)
Rays vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Ji-Man Choi | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Rays vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Harold Ramirez | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -300 |
| Ji-Man Choi | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
Rays vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ji-Man Choi | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
Rays vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Patino | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 65 games (+19.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 15 of their last 26 games (+7.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 46 games (+7.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 58 games (+6.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 away games (+4.65 Units / 14% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 37 games at home (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 5 games (+6.40 Units / 96% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+5.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+5.50 Units / 23% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 55-64 against the Run Line (-20.2 Units / -13% ROI).
- 48-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.3 Units / -9.69% ROI
- 58-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -3.6% ROI
- 57-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -7 Units / -5.32% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 56-60 against the Run Line (-4.45 Units / -3.12% ROI).
- 62-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -4.7% ROI
- 52-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.05 Units / -7.19% ROI
- 57-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -0.73% ROI
Brad Keller: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .388 (26-for-67) against Brad Keller this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 80% (12/15) against Brad Keller against right-handed batters — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .500 (20-for-40) against Brad Keller this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .245 — first Percentile.
Brad Keller has allowed an OPS of 1.097 (75 PA’s) this month (3 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .679 — first Percentile.
Luis Patiño: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Royals are just 3-31 (.088) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
The Royals are just 6-51 (.105) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Royals are just 1-56 (.018) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Royals are just 48-61 (.440) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rays are 35-22 (.614) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Rays are 11-9 (.550) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 39-7 (.848) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Rays are just 51-8 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .911.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 649 strikeouts in 3,311 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals hitters have put just 28% of their swings in play against LHP this month (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Royals hitters have just 548 strikeouts in 2,850 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters are slugging just .379 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .628 (1,313 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .683.
Rays hitters have 787 strikeouts in 3,232 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays hitters have grounded into 20 double plays in 352 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Rays have scored 1.71 runs per game (471/275) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.43.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have allowed 1.76 runs per game (209/119) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
Royals pitchers have walked 449 of 4,608 batters (10%) this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 54 of 1,038 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rays pitchers have walked 277 of 4,265 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 713 of 10,263 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 881 of 12,475 batters (7%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Matthew Wisler (Rays): Neck, D15
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D60
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