- The Rays (63-55) are -200 favorites vs the Royals (49-72)
- Royals starting pitcher: Kristofer Bubic (2-7), 5.10 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen (7-4), 2.79 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSUN
The Kansas City Royals (+165) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-200) on Saturday, August 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Royals vs Rays Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Royals are 49-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 56-61 ATS.
Royals vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -130 | O 7 +100 | +165 |
| Rays | -1.5 +105 | U 7 -120 | -200 |
Royals vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 78.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.30 Units / 55% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+11.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 away games (+10.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- Kris Bubic has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 50 of his last 79 games (+9.85 Units / 9% ROI)
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Wander Franco has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+14.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- Ji-Man Choi has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games at home (+12.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Shane McClanahan has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.30 Units / 63% ROI)
Rays vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Rays vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -120 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
Rays vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
Rays vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Rasmussen | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -155 |
| Kris Bubic | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 67 games (+19.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+9.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 away games (+4.55 Units / 18% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.45 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.70 Units / 25% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 56-64 against the Run Line (-19.2 Units / -12.25% ROI).
- 49-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.55 Units / -8.25% ROI
- 58-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.75 Units / -4.36% ROI
- 58-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -4.52% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 56-61 against the Run Line (-5.45 Units / -3.79% ROI).
- 62-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.75 Units / -5.91% ROI
- 52-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.1 Units / -7.96% ROI
- 58-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.05 Units / 0.04% ROI
Kristofer Bubic: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kris Bubic has allowed a slugging percentage of .661 (207 Total Bases / 313 ABs) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .439 — 0 Percentile.
Kris Bubic has allowed an OPS of 1.084 (364 PA’s) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .765 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 17% (225/1,341) against Kris Bubic in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (18/118) against Kris Bubic on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .028 (1-for-36) against Drew Rasmussen — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .241 — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has allowed an OPS of just .083 (36 PA’s) — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .680 — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has allowed an OPS of just .310 (60 PA’s) this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .687 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .225 (25-for-111) against Drew Rasmussen when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .339 — 100th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Royals are just 3-32 (.086) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.
The Royals are just 6-52 (.103) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Royals are just 1-57 (.017) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Royals are just 20-58 (.256) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rays are just 52-8 (.867) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Rays are 40-7 (.851) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Rays are 36-23 (.610) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Rays are 23-96 (.193) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .125.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 557 strikeouts in 2,887 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .980 (2,028 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.084.
Royals hitters have just 658 strikeouts in 3,348 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals hitters have drawn 211 walks in 2,887 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays have scored 1.72 runs per game (477/277) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.43.
Rays hitters are slugging just .238 with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .639 (1,336 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .682.
Rays hitters have grounded into 20 double plays in 355 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have allowed 1.78 runs per game (215/121) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
Royals pitchers have walked 1,046 of 10,808 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have walked 455 of 4,681 batters (10%) this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers have walked 215 of 2,487 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 719 of 10,336 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 283 of 4,338 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 54 of 1,057 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rays pitchers have walked 887 of 12,548 batters (7%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Roman Quinn (Rays): Knee, D10
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Matthew Wisler (Rays): Neck, D15
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D60
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