Royals vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 20

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 20, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Rays (63-55) are -200 favorites vs the Royals (49-72)
  • Royals starting pitcher: Kristofer Bubic (2-7), 5.10 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen (7-4), 2.79 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSUN

The Kansas City Royals (+165) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-200) on Saturday, August 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Royals vs Rays Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Royals are 49-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 56-61 ATS.

Royals vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 -130O 7 +100+165
Rays -1.5 +105U 7 -120-200

Royals vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 78.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.30 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+11.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 away games (+10.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Kris Bubic has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.90 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 50 of his last 79 games (+9.85 Units / 9% ROI)

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Wander Franco has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+14.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Ji-Man Choi has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games at home (+12.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Manuel Margot has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Shane McClanahan has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.30 Units / 63% ROI)

Rays vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Harold Ramirez 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Isaac Paredes 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Jose Siri 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Randy Arozarena 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Taylor Walls 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000

Rays vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Isaac Paredes 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Jose Siri 0.5 -115 0.5 -120
Randy Arozarena 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Taylor Walls 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Yandy Diaz 0.5 -275 0.5 +190

Rays vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Harold Ramirez 0.5 +135 0.5 -200
Isaac Paredes 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Jose Siri 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Randy Arozarena 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Taylor Walls 0.5 +260 0.5 -400

Rays vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Drew Rasmussen 5.5 +110 5.5 -155
Kris Bubic 4.5 -145 4.5 +100
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 67 games (+19.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+9.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 away games (+4.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.45 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.70 Units / 25% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 56-64 against the Run Line (-19.2 Units / -12.25% ROI).

  • 49-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.55 Units / -8.25% ROI
  • 58-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.75 Units / -4.36% ROI
  • 58-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -4.52% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 56-61 against the Run Line (-5.45 Units / -3.79% ROI).

  • 62-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.75 Units / -5.91% ROI
  • 52-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.1 Units / -7.96% ROI
  • 58-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.05 Units / 0.04% ROI

Kris Bubic has allowed a slugging percentage of .661 (207 Total Bases / 313 ABs) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .439 — 0 Percentile.

Kris Bubic has allowed an OPS of 1.084 (364 PA’s) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .765 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 17% (225/1,341) against Kris Bubic in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (18/118) against Kris Bubic on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Drew Rasmussen: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .028 (1-for-36) against Drew Rasmussen — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .241 — 100th Percentile.

Drew Rasmussen has allowed an OPS of just .083 (36 PA’s) — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .680 — 100th Percentile.

Drew Rasmussen has allowed an OPS of just .310 (60 PA’s) this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .687 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .225 (25-for-111) against Drew Rasmussen when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .339 — 100th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Royals are just 3-32 (.086) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.

The Royals are just 6-52 (.103) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.

The Royals are just 1-57 (.017) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Royals are just 20-58 (.256) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Rays are just 52-8 (.867) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Rays are 40-7 (.851) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

The Rays are 36-23 (.610) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Rays are 23-96 (.193) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .125.

Royals hitters have just 557 strikeouts in 2,887 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .980 (2,028 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.084.

Royals hitters have just 658 strikeouts in 3,348 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Royals hitters have drawn 211 walks in 2,887 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Rays have scored 1.72 runs per game (477/277) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.43.

Rays hitters are slugging just .238 with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

Rays hitters have an OPS of just .639 (1,336 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .682.

Rays hitters have grounded into 20 double plays in 355 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Royals have allowed 1.78 runs per game (215/121) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.

Royals pitchers have walked 1,046 of 10,808 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals pitchers have walked 455 of 4,681 batters (10%) this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals pitchers have walked 215 of 2,487 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 719 of 10,336 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 283 of 4,338 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 54 of 1,057 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rays pitchers have walked 887 of 12,548 batters (7%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Roman Quinn (Rays): Knee, D10
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
  • Matthew Wisler (Rays): Neck, D15
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.