Royals vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 22

Seattle Mariners catcher Cal Raleigh, right, watches as Tampa Bay Rays' Yandy Diaz hits a lead off single off Seattle starter Bryce Miller during the first inning of a baseball game Sunday, Sept. 10, 2023, in St. Petersburg, Fla.
(AP Photo/Steve Nesius)
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  • The Rays are -190 favorites vs the Royals
  • Royals vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Royals / Rays TV Channel: RYTV | RATV

The Kansas City Royals (+155) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-190) on June 22, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Royals are 32-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 42-32 ATS.

Royals vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 4-5, 3.69 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 6-3, 2.58 ERA

Royals vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 -145O 7.5 -120+155
Rays -1.5 +118U 7.5 +100-190

Royals vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Michael Massey has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+19.30 Units / 241% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Isaac Collins has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+10.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Jac Caglianone has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+10.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Carter Jensen has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Yandy Diaz has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+18.00 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.30 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Chandler Simpson has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.95 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Drew Rasmussen has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 away games (+6.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+2.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+17.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+13.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+10.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+8.75 Units / 18% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 33-42 against the Run Line (-18.05 Units / -16.86% ROI).

  • 32-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.5 Units / -20.69% ROI
  • 37-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.8 Units / -7.93% ROI
  • 40-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -0.64% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 42-32 against the Run Line (+13.4 Units / 14.48% ROI).

  • 43-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.45 Units / 9.41% ROI
  • 33-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -9.41% ROI
  • 37-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.2 Units / 0.24% ROI

Rays vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Junior Caminero +310
Jonathan Aranda +425
Salvador Perez +450
Yandy Diaz +500
Carter Jensen +500

Rays vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chandler Simpson 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Junior Caminero 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Maikel Garcia 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Carter Jensen 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Rays vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lane Thomas 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Isaac Collins 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Salvador Perez 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Mike Massey 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Royals are just 24-6 (.800) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .945.

The Royals are just 24-8 (.750) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Royals are just 3-25 (.107) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Royals are just 13-24 (.351) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Rays are 9-24 (.273) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .140.

The Rays are 26-10 (.722) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Rays are 27-15 (.643) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .511.

The Rays are 32-2 (.941) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .860.

Royals hitters are slugging just .227 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .470 (1,521 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters are slugging just .184 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters have a swing rate of just 57% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging just .350 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .286 against division opponents this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in late innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have picked-off 11 runners from first base this season — 2nd most in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strike rate of just 63% this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Rays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.2 MPH this season (1,879 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB

Rays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.2 MPH (1,879 batted balls) this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.