- The Rays are -350 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals starting pitcher: Jose Cuas
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Kansas City Royals (+275) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-350) on Thursday, June 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+100).
The Royals vs Rays Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 20-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 43-34 ATS.
Royals vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +2.5 -120 | O 7.5 +100 | +275 |
| Rays | -2.5 +100 | U 7.5 -120 | -350 |
Royals vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 92.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 22 away games (+9.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+9.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jordan Lyles has hit the Earned Runs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.35 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Manuel Margot has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.35 Units / 65% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.05 Units / 59% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.75 Units / 64% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+7.55 Units / 19% ROI)
Rays vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dairon Blanco | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Matt Duffy | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Rays vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dairon Blanco | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Matt Duffy | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Rays vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dairon Blanco | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -500 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Duffy | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Rays vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shane McClanahan | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -140 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 70 games (+10.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 28 away games (+10.00 Units / 32% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 40 games at home (+21.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 77 games (+19.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 49 of their last 77 games (+18.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 47 games (+12.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+12.70 Units / 31% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 27-47 against the Run Line (-29.55 Units / -31.77% ROI).
- 20-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.3 Units / -37.73% ROI
- 32-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.05 Units / -14.86% ROI
- 40-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 5.32% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 43-34 against the Run Line (+10.95 Units / 12.26% ROI).
- 52-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.1 Units / 14.54% ROI
- 42-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.6 Units / 8.96% ROI
- 31-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.35 Units / -18.15% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Cuas has allowed an OBP of .434 (106 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .304 — first Percentile.
Jose Cuas has allowed an OBP of .368 (315 PA’s) since last season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: .301 — second Percentile.
Jose Cuas has walked 19 of 107 left-handed batters (18%) since last season — tied for 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 10% — third Percentile.
Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit .462 against Jose Cuas this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane McClanahan has a strike rate of 70% (288/412) in two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 53% (95/179) against Shane McClanahan on changeups this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (234/695) against Shane McClanahan this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 66% of Shane McClanahan’s pitches (273/412) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Royals are just 5-65 (.071) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .355.
The Royals are just 5-15 (.250) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Royals are just 19-48 (.284) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Royals are just 12-9 (.571) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .785.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rays are 32-8 (.800) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Rays are 23-6 (.793) after a home win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .552.
The Rays are 35-16 (.686) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Rays are 22-5 (.815) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 26% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Royals have won just 33% of games in which they have scored first on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 63%.
The Royals are batting just .195 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 27% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .572 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .445.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .839 (594 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .741.
Rays hitters are slugging .496 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 80% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Royals have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Royals pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals pitchers have allowed a run 37% of the time after an opposing score since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 132 of 2,124 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 633 of 8,755 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .209 against Rays pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Leg, D10
- Calvin Faucher (Rays): Elbow, D15
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Amir Garrett (Royals): Elbow, D15
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Michael Massey (Royals): Hand, D10
- Matthew Beaty (Royals): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D15
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