- The Rays are -250 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals starting pitcher: Donald Greinke
- Rays starting pitcher: Zachary Eflin
- Watch the game on BSSUN
The Kansas City Royals (+200) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-250) on Friday, June 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Royals vs Rays Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 21-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 43-35 ATS.
Royals vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 +105 | O 8 -120 | +200 |
| Rays | -1.5 -125 | U 8 +100 | -250 |
Royals vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 88.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+11.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+9.75 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.35 Units / 68% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.85 Units / 67% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+8.55 Units / 21% ROI)
Rays vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Dairon Blanco | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Rays vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Dairon Blanco | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Rays vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
| Dairon Blanco | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Rays vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Greinke | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -110 |
| Zach Eflin | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 71 games (+9.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 away games (+8.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+6.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+2.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 50 of their last 78 games (+19.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+18.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 41 games at home (+17.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 78 games (+17.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 38 games at home (+13.70 Units / 33% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 28-47 against the Run Line (-28.2 Units / -30% ROI).
- 21-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.6 Units / -33.82% ROI
- 33-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.05 Units / -13.43% ROI
- 40-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.3 Units / 3.99% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 43-35 against the Run Line (+9.4 Units / 10.35% ROI).
- 52-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.7 Units / 11.49% ROI
- 43-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.6 Units / 10% ROI
- 31-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.4 Units / -19.16% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (107/582) against Zack Greinke this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.
Zack Greinke has walked 10 of 316 batters (3%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .292 (57-for-195) against Zack Greinke’s non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .222 — fifth Percentile.
Zack Greinke has walked 6 of 184 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 95th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.4 MPH against his fastballs since last season (223 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 93 total IP; League Avg: 90.5
Zach Eflin has allowed an OBP of just .259 (301 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .302 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (36/211) against Zach Eflin this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 75.2 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (95 balls in play) — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 93 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Royals are just 5-20 (.200) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .607.
The Royals are just 5-15 (.250) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Royals are just 2-24 (.077) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
The Royals are just 15-17 (.469) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rays are 8-2 (.800) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Rays are 6-2 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 32-9 (.780) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .525.
The Rays are 9-9 (.500) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .269.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals are batting just .195 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 26% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Royals have won just 41% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 27% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays have a winning percentage of 80% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Rays hitters are slugging .485 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Rays hitters are slugging .480 with bases empty this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Rays hitters are slugging .572 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .444.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have allowed a run 37% of the time after an opposing score since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Royals pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 12% when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Rays pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Rays pitchers have walked 133 of 2,133 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shane McClanahan (Rays): Back, Day-to-Day
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Leg, D10
- Calvin Faucher (Rays): Elbow, D15
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Lucas Raley (Rays): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Amir Garrett (Royals): Elbow, D15
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Michael Massey (Royals): Hand, D10
- Matthew Beaty (Royals): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D15
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