Royals vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 24

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 24, 2023, 3:33 PM
  • The Rays are -250 favorites vs the Royals
  • Royals starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles
  • Rays starting pitcher: Yonny Chirinos
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Kansas City Royals (+200) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-250) on Saturday, June 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).

The Royals vs Rays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Royals are against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are ATS.

Royals vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals+1.5 +105O 9 -105+200
Rays -1.5 -125U 9 -115-250

Royals vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 87.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Royals vs Rays and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+13.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Nick Pratto has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+10.75 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Manuel Margot has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Manuel Margot has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.45 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Luke Raley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.35 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.05 Units / 59% ROI)

Rays vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Pratto 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Freddy Fermin 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Jose Siri 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Maikel Garcia 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +450 0.5 -900

Rays vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Pratto 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Freddy Fermin 0.5 -160 0.5 +125
Jose Siri 0.5 -160 0.5 +125
Maikel Garcia 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Bobby Witt Jr. 1.5 +185 1.5 -250

Rays vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Pratto 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Freddy Fermin 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Jose Siri 0.5 +195 0.5 -250
Maikel Garcia 0.5 +225 0.5 -300
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Rays vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yonny Chirinos 3.5 -110 3.5 -120
Jordan Lyles 4.5 -105 4.5 -120
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 71 games (+9.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 away games (+8.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+6.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+2.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 50 of their last 78 games (+19.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+18.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 41 games at home (+17.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 78 games (+17.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 38 games at home (+13.70 Units / 33% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Opponents are hitting .455 (25-for-55) against Jordan Lyles with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — first Percentile.

Jordan Lyles has allowed an OPS of 1.464 (66 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .694 — first Percentile.

Jordan Lyles has an ERA of 6.72 (85.2 IP)this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.81 — first Percentile.

Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .734 (91 Total Bases / 124 ABs) versus the top of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .416 — first Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Yonny Chirinos has struck out just 6% (5/78) of left-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Yonny Chirinos has a strikeout rate of just 27% (20 SO in 73 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .070 (3-for-43) against Yonny Chirinos versus the bottom of the order this season — tied for best among in MLB; League Avg: .222 — 100th Percentile.

Yonny Chirinos has struck out just 6% (5/78) of left-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Royals are just 6-65 (.085) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .355.

The Royals are just 5-11 (.312) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .682.

The Royals are just 5-21 (.192) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .608.

The Royals are just 10-12 (.455) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Rays are 33-9 (.786) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .525.

The Rays are 9-2 (.818) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are 35-17 (.673) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Rays are 10-9 (.526) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .270.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 26% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

The Royals have won just 32% of games in which they have scored first on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 28% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Royals have won just 42% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

Rays hitters are slugging .572 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .444.

Rays hitters have an OPS of .824 (611 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .740.

Rays hitters are slugging .466 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

Rays hitters are slugging .460 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.

Royals pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Royals pitchers have walked 186 of 2,082 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Royals pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rays pitchers have walked 640 of 8,835 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays pitchers have won 62% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

Rays vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Shane McClanahan (Rays): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Brandon Lowe (Rays): Leg, D10
  • Calvin Faucher (Rays): Elbow, D15
  • Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
  • Josh Fleming (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Amir Garrett (Royals): Elbow, D15
  • Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
  • Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Michael Massey (Royals): Hand, D10
  • Matthew Beaty (Royals): Concussion Protocol, D7
  • Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
  • Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
  • Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D15

Bet now on Royals vs Rays and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

BetMGM first bet offer for $1000
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.