- The Rays are -250 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles
- Rays starting pitcher: Yonny Chirinos
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Kansas City Royals (+200) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-250) on Saturday, June 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Royals vs Rays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are ATS.
Royals vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Royals | +1.5 +105 | O 9 -105 | +200 |
Rays | -1.5 -125 | U 9 -115 | -250 |
Royals vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 87.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+13.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+10.75 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Manuel Margot has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.45 Units / 54% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.35 Units / 68% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.05 Units / 59% ROI)
Rays vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nick Pratto | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Freddy Fermin | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Jose Siri | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Rays vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nick Pratto | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Freddy Fermin | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Jose Siri | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Maikel Garcia | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Bobby Witt Jr. | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
Rays vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nick Pratto | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Freddy Fermin | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Jose Siri | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Rays vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Yonny Chirinos | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
Jordan Lyles | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 71 games (+9.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 away games (+8.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+6.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+2.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 50 of their last 78 games (+19.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+18.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 41 games at home (+17.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 78 games (+17.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 38 games at home (+13.70 Units / 33% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .455 (25-for-55) against Jordan Lyles with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — first Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed an OPS of 1.464 (66 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .694 — first Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has an ERA of 6.72 (85.2 IP)this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.81 — first Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .734 (91 Total Bases / 124 ABs) versus the top of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .416 — first Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yonny Chirinos has struck out just 6% (5/78) of left-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Yonny Chirinos has a strikeout rate of just 27% (20 SO in 73 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .070 (3-for-43) against Yonny Chirinos versus the bottom of the order this season — tied for best among in MLB; League Avg: .222 — 100th Percentile.
Yonny Chirinos has struck out just 6% (5/78) of left-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Royals are just 6-65 (.085) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .355.
The Royals are just 5-11 (.312) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .682.
The Royals are just 5-21 (.192) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .608.
The Royals are just 10-12 (.455) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rays are 33-9 (.786) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .525.
The Rays are 9-2 (.818) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 35-17 (.673) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Rays are 10-9 (.526) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .270.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 26% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Royals have won just 32% of games in which they have scored first on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 28% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Royals have won just 42% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .572 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .444.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .824 (611 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .740.
Rays hitters are slugging .466 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Rays hitters are slugging .460 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have walked 186 of 2,082 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 640 of 8,835 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have won 62% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Rays vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shane McClanahan (Rays): Back, Day-to-Day
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Leg, D10
- Calvin Faucher (Rays): Elbow, D15
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Amir Garrett (Royals): Elbow, D15
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Michael Massey (Royals): Hand, D10
- Matthew Beaty (Royals): Concussion Protocol, D7
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D15
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