- The Rays are -275 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals starting pitcher: Daniel A. Lynch
- Rays starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow
- Watch the game on BSSUN
The Kansas City Royals (+210) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-275) on Sunday, June 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Royals vs Rays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 22-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 44-36 ATS.
Royals vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +2.5 -130 | O 8.5 +100 | +210 |
| Rays | -2.5 +105 | U 8.5 -120 | -275 |
Royals vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 87.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+14.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+11.75 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.35 Units / 69% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+8.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- Francisco Mejia has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+8.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+8.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.05 Units / 59% ROI)
Rays vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Rays vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Rays vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -500 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Rays vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lynch | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
| Tyler Glasnow | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -125 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 73 games (+7.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 away games (+6.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.70 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.90 Units / 78% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.40 Units / 37% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 42 games at home (+20.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 51 of their last 80 games (+19.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 80 games (+16.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 43 games at home (+16.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+15.70 Units / 36% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 29-48 against the Run Line (-28.15 Units / -29.32% ROI).
- 22-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.6 Units / -31.74% ROI
- 35-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.05 Units / -10.72% ROI
- 40-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 1.24% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 44-36 against the Run Line (+9.15 Units / 9.8% ROI).
- 53-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.3 Units / 10.02% ROI
- 45-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.6 Units / 12.03% ROI
- 31-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.65 Units / -21.23% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (12/83) against Daniel Lynch this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .048 (1-for-21) against Daniel Lynch over the past seven days (1 games) — best in AL over the last week; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.
Daniel Lynch has allowed a slugging percentage of just .048 (1 Total Bases / 21 ABs) over the past seven days (1 games) — best in AL over the last week; League Avg: .388 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .464 (39-for-84) against Daniel Lynch on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: .345 — second Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Glasnow has at least 6 strikeouts in each of his last five games — Spencer Strider has the longest active streak at 15.
Tyler Glasnow has 12 three-pitch strikeouts over the last 30 days (5 games) — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 30% (33 SO in 109 PAs) over the last 30 days (5 games) — 5th best among in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 92nd Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has walked 8 of 63 left-handed batters (13%) over the last 30 days (5 games) — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 14th Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Royals are just 7-65 (.097) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .355.
The Royals are just 5-16 (.238) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Royals are just 2-6 (.250) after a home win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .545.
The Royals are just 7-13 (.350) after a loss as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rays are 33-10 (.767) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Rays are 10-10 (.500) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Rays are 23-8 (.742) after a home win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .545.
The Rays are 31-5 (.861) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .683.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 29% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Royals have won just 39% of games in which they have scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 67%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 26% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Royals have won just 44% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .459 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .799 (2,418 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 77% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Rays have scored first in 66% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have walked 186 of 2,091 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .292 against Royals pitchers with runners on base since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
The Royals have won just 13% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 642 of 8,875 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 135 of 2,151 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Rays vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shane McClanahan (Rays): Back, Day-to-Day
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Leg, D10
- Calvin Faucher (Rays): Elbow, D15
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Amir Garrett (Royals): Elbow, D15
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Michael Massey (Royals): Hand, D10
- Matthew Beaty (Royals): Concussion Protocol, D7
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D15
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