Royals vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 1

(AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
  • The Royals are -160 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Royals vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Royals / Tigers TV Channel: BSDT | BSKC

The Kansas City Royals (-160) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+135) on Thursday, August 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Royals are 60-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 55-54 ATS.

Royals vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 12-5, 2.65 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Keider Montero 1-4, 6.45 ERA

Royals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Royals-1.5 +100O 8.5 -115-160
Tigers +1.5 -120U 8.5 -105+135

Royals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 64.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+13.45 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 away games (+13.00 Units / 144% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+11.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Seth Lugo has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.15 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Colt Keith has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 21 games (+27.70 Units / 132% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 45 games (+8.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Zach McKinstry has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.50 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+8.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 23 games at home (+7.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 61 of their last 105 games (+10.24 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.25 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 92 games (+13.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.95 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games (+5.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+5.25 Units / 17% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 62-47 against the Run Line (+6.64 Units / 4.5% ROI).

  • 60-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.5 Units / 6.16% ROI
  • 46-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.6 Units / -15.74% ROI
  • 59-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.95 Units / 6.65% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 55-54 against the Run Line (-5.2 Units / -3.49% ROI).

  • 52-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -6.07% ROI
  • 58-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.2 Units / 7.88% ROI
  • 44-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.9 Units / -17.07% ROI

Tigers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +300 0.5 -375
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Hunter Renfroe (KC) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
MJ Melendez (KC) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Paul DeJong (KC) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Tigers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Colt Keith (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
MJ Melendez (KC) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Freddy Fermin (KC) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Hunter Renfroe (KC) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155
Wenceel Perez (DET) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Tigers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +110 0.5 -140
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Hunter Renfroe (KC) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
MJ Melendez (KC) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Tigers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Seth Lugo (KC) 4.5 -175 4.5 +130
Keider Montero (DET) 3.5 -155 3.5 +115

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (31/169) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.

Seth Lugo has walked 9 of 198 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 87th Percentile.

12 of Seth Lugo’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — tied for 6th most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 92nd Percentile.

Seth Lugo has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (822/2,401) vs left-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 98th Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Keider Montero has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to July 13rd — Griffin Canning has the longest active streak at 9.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Royals are just 46-66 (.411) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.

The Royals are just 13-69 (.159) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .305.

The Royals are just 25-42 (.373) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.

The Royals are just 28-55 (.337) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Tigers are just 9-16 (.360) after a home win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.

The Tigers are just 27-39 (.409) after a home win since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Tigers are 24-4 (.857) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Tigers are just 36-8 (.818) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.

Royals hitters have just 729 strikeouts in 4,003 PA’s (18%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .283 (4,851 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Royals hitters have just 153 strikeouts in 878 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.

team hitters – home

Royals pitchers have an ERA of 2.72 (281.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Royals pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 287 of 4,041 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 324 of 3,839 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Tigers vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Reese Olson (Detroit Tigers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Alex Lange (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 60-Day IL
  • Matt Manning (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 7-Day IL
  • Parker Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
  • Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Eddys Leonard (Detroit Tigers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 7-Day IL
  • Casey Mize (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Back, 60-Day IL
  • MJ Melendez (Kansas City Royals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
  • Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.