- The – (49-28) are favorites vs the – (49-28)
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer (3-3), 4.33 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal (5-6), 3.75 ERA
- Watch the game on Peacock
The Kansas City Royals () visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers () on Sunday, July 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 12:05pm EDT in Detroit.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Royals vs Tigers Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Royals are 28-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 35-41 ATS.
Royals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | O | ||
| Tigers | U |
Royals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 68.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 26 away games (+9.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+9.55 Units / 87% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 31 away games (+8.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+8.10 Units / 29% ROI)
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.45 Units / 55% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Singles Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games at home (+6.30 Units / 122% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 43% ROI)
Tigers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Spencer Torkelson | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Tucker Barnhart | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
Tigers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Spencer Torkelson | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Tucker Barnhart | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -115 |
Tigers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Spencer Torkelson | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Tucker Barnhart | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
Tigers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -160 |
| Brady Singer | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 away games (+8.85 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 38 of their last 71 games (+5.05 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+4.75 Units / 50% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 73 games (+20.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+10.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games at home (+5.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 44 games (+0.45 Units / 1% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 32-44 against the Run Line (-24.35 Units / -23.36% ROI).
- 28-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.35 Units / -21.28% ROI
- 36-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -3.86% ROI
- 36-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.05 Units / -4.78% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 35-41 against the Run Line (-9.9 Units / -10.5% ROI).
- 30-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.45 Units / -11.5% ROI
- 25-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.2 Units / -30.16% ROI
- 46-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.9 Units / 22.47% ROI
Brady Singer: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of just 23% (186/808) against Brady Singer on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 31% — second Percentile.
Brady Singer has walked 1 of 56 batters (2%) — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 37% (823/2,241) against Brady Singer in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Brady Singer has not walked any of the 27 batters that he has faced vs left-handed batters — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has allowed a slugging percentage of .596 (34 Total Bases / 57 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .422 — fifth Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has a strikeout rate of 40% (26 SO in 65 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .119 (7-for-59) against Tarik Skubal’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .225 — 98th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has not allowed a walk in his last 103 PAs against a LHH dating back to July 30th, 2021 — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 0-24 (.000) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
The Royals are 4-1 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 1-40 (.024) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Royals are just 4-35 (.103) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are just 2-33 (.057) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Tigers are just 2-20 (.091) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.
The Tigers are just 12-23 (.343) on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Tigers are just 30-38 (.441) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 36% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
Royals hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Royals hitters have just 477 strikeouts in 2,514 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals have won just 45% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .590 (1,252 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .322 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .315 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .617 (2,706 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus the heart of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have walked 297 of 2,956 batters (10%) this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The average home run distance against the Royals pitchers since the start of last season is 407.2 feet — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.9
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.0 MPH this season (1,879 balls in play) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Right Shoulder, D15
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
- Salvador Perez (Royals): Thumb, D10
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Blister, D15
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
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