- The Tigers are -150 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles
- Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Kansas City Royals (+125) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-150) on Monday, June 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Royals vs Tigers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 19-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 37-33 ATS.
Royals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -155 | O 9 -110 | +125 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +125 | U 9 -110 | -150 |
Royals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 68.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+10.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+9.25 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 24 games at home (+18.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+15.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Nick Maton has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+12.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- Nick Maton has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Nick Maton has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+10.25 Units / 43% ROI)
Tigers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Tigers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Tigers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Tigers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Reese Olson | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Jordan Lyles | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 67 games (+11.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 away games (+11.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+9.50 Units / 35% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 47 games (+8.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 59 games (+8.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 60 games (+6.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.05 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+4.05 Units / 81% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 26-45 against the Run Line (-27.4 Units / -31.05% ROI).
- 19-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.5 Units / -38.18% ROI
- 30-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.9 Units / -16.6% ROI
- 39-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.5 Units / 7.01% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 37-33 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -1.66% ROI).
- 30-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.6 Units / 5.01% ROI
- 38-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.65 Units / 4.66% ROI
- 31-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -10 Units / -13.18% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Lyles has allowed an OPS of 1.489 (65 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .687 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .463 (25-for-54) against Jordan Lyles with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — first Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed an OBP of .508 (65 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .311 — first Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has an ERA of 6.89 (79.2 IP)this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.75 — first Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reese Olson has struck out just 5% (1/19) of right-handed batters he faced — 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.
Reese Olson has allowed an OBP of just .158 (19 PA’s) against right-handed batters — 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .298 — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 4% (2/56) against Reese Olson on pitches in the strike zone over the last 14 days (2 games) — tied for 2nd lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 19% — third Percentile.
Reese Olson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .275 (14 Total Bases / 51 ABs) over the last 30 days (3 games) — 11th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .420 — 93rd Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 5-65 (.071) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .354.
The Royals are just 1-24 (.040) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .392.
The Royals are just 5-9 (.357) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .682.
The Royals are just 18-46 (.281) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are just 6-11 (.353) after a home loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .503.
The Tigers are just 15-63 (.192) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Tigers are just 51-84 (.378) after a loss since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The Tigers are just 93-119 (.439) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 26% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Royals are batting just .194 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 31% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .624 (6,480 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .284 (6,480 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (8,519 PA’s) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .339 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have allowed a run 37% of the time after an opposing score since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
The Royals have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 199 of 2,626 batters (8%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Riley Greene (Tigers): Fibula, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Finger, D15
- Matthew Vierling (Tigers): Back, Day-to-Day
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Tigers): Finger, D10
- Akil Baddoo (Tigers): Quad, D10
- Amir Garrett (Royals): Elbow, D15
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Michael Massey (Royals): Hand, D10
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D15
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