- The Tigers are -145 favorites vs the Royals
- Royals starting pitcher: Daniel A. Lynch
- Tigers starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Kansas City Royals (+120) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-145) on Tuesday, June 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Royals vs Tigers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Royals are 19-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 38-33 ATS.
Royals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Royals | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 -110 | +120 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +140 | U 8.5 -110 | -145 |
Royals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 67.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.25 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 24 games at home (+18.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+15.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Nick Maton has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+13.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- Nick Maton has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+11.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Nick Maton has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+10.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Tigers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Tigers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Andy Ibanez | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Tigers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Tigers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lynch | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +120 |
| Michael Lorenzen | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 68 games (+10.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+7.95 Units / 28% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 60 games (+9.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 61 games (+7.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.45 Units / 44% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 26-46 against the Run Line (-28.9 Units / -32.2% ROI).
- 19-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.5 Units / -39% ROI
- 31-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.9 Units / -15.09% ROI
- 39-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.45 Units / 5.59% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 38-33 against the Run Line (-0.15 Units / -0.17% ROI).
- 31-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.6 Units / 6.27% ROI
- 39-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.65 Units / 5.86% ROI
- 31-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.05 Units / -14.37% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .481 (38-for-79) against Daniel Lynch on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: .344 — 0 Percentile.
Daniel Lynch has an average spin rate of 2042.8 RPM on sliders since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 2402.8 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 52% (61/118) against Daniel Lynch on sliders since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.
Daniel Lynch has allowed a slugging percentage of .530 (107 Total Bases / 202 ABs) on breaking pitches since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: .371 — 0 Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen has a strikeout rate of just 11% (6 SO in 54 PAs) over the last 14 days (2 games) — 2nd lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .375 (9-for-24) against Michael Lorenzen over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd highest in AL over the last week; League Avg: .236 — fourth Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OPS of 1.199 (27 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd highest in AL over the last week; League Avg: .714 — fourth Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of .792 (19 Total Bases / 24 ABs) over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd highest in AL over the last week; League Avg: .419 — fourth Percentile.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 14-17 (.452) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Royals are just 18-47 (.277) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Royals are just 1-24 (.040) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .392.
The Royals are just 5-10 (.333) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .682.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are just 24-39 (.381) after a home loss since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The Tigers are just 38-49 (.437) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Tigers are just 16-24 (.400) after a loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .477.
The Tigers are just 51-84 (.378) after a loss since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .481.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 26% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .276 (1,232 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Royals are batting just .195 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .285 (6,514 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .624 (6,514 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .340 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .643 (8,553 PA’s) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Royals have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 201 of 2,661 batters (8%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .312 against Tigers pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Tigers vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Riley Greene (Tigers): Fibula, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Finger, D15
- Matthew Vierling (Tigers): Back, Day-to-Day
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Tigers): Finger, D10
- Akil Baddoo (Tigers): Quad, D10
- Amir Garrett (Royals): Elbow, D15
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Michael Massey (Royals): Hand, D10
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D15
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