Royals vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 21

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 02, 2023, 9:02 PM
  • The are favorites vs the
  • Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd
  • Watch the game on BSDET

The Kansas City Royals () visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers () on Wednesday, June 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit.

The are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().

The Royals vs Tigers Over/Under is total runs for the game.

This season, the Royals are 20-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 38-34 ATS.

Royals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

  Spread Over / Under Moneyline
Royals   O  
Tigers   U  

Royals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 57.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

     

    • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
    • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
    • Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+10.65 Units / 38% ROI)
    • MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 22 away games (+9.85 Units / 29% ROI)
    • Nick Pratto has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.70 Units / 32% ROI)

     

      And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

      Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

         

        • Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 24 games at home (+18.05 Units / 35% ROI)
        • Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+15.85 Units / 59% ROI)
        • Nick Maton has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+13.65 Units / 49% ROI)
        • Nick Maton has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+11.35 Units / 45% ROI)
        • Nick Maton has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+10.80 Units / 23% ROI)

         

          Tigers vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

          Over Under
          Andy Ibanez 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
          Eric Haase 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
          Nick Pratto 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
          Javier Baez 0.5 +675 0.5 -2500
          Dairon Blanco 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000

          Tigers vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

          Over Under
          Andy Ibanez 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
          Eric Haase 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
          Nick Pratto 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
          Javier Baez 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
          Dairon Blanco 0.5 -160 0.5 +125

          Tigers vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

          Over Under
          Andy Ibanez 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
          Eric Haase 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
          Nick Pratto 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
          Javier Baez 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
          Dairon Blanco 0.5 +240 0.5 -350

          Tigers vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

          Over Under
          Matthew Boyd 5.5 -120 5.5 -110
          Brady Singer 4.5 -140 4.5 +105

             

            • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 69 games (+11.70 Units / 14% ROI)
            • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 27 away games (+11.10 Units / 37% ROI)
            • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+9.10 Units / 31% ROI)

             

                 

                • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 49 games (+8.70 Units / 16% ROI)
                • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+7.80 Units / 12% ROI)
                • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 62 games (+6.65 Units / 9% ROI)
                • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 47% ROI)
                • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+2.45 Units / 34% ROI)

                 

                  Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

                  Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 27-46 against the Run Line (-27.9 Units / -30.54% ROI).

                  • 20-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.3 Units / -36.92% ROI
                  • 31-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.05 Units / -16.31% ROI
                  • 40-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.45 Units / 6.76% ROI

                  Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

                  Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 38-34 against the Run Line (-1.15 Units / -1.28% ROI).

                  • 31-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 4.28% ROI
                  • 39-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.5 Units / 4.35% ROI
                  • 32-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.05 Units / -12.89% ROI

                  Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 59% (40/68) against Brady Singer on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.

                  Brady Singer has thrown inside pitches 54% of the time (394/726) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.

                  Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 58% (65/112) against Brady Singer on non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.

                  Hitters have chased just 30 of Brady Singer’s 278 fastballs out of the zone (11%) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.

                  Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

                  Opponents are hitting .556 (15-for-27) against Matthew Boyd on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .355 — 0 Percentile.

                  Matthew Boyd has allowed an OPS of 1.134 (56 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .741 — third Percentile.

                  Matthew Boyd has an ERA of 8.46 (27.2 IP) at home this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 4.14 — third Percentile.

                  Matthew Boyd has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.037 (28 Total Bases / 27 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .600 — first Percentile.

                  Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

                  The Royals are just 1-24 (.040) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .392.

                  The Royals are just 5-65 (.071) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .355.

                  The Royals are just 5-20 (.200) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .608.

                  The Royals are just 5-10 (.333) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .683.

                  Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

                  The Tigers are just 24-39 (.381) after a home loss since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.

                  The Tigers are just 15-95 (.136) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

                  The Tigers are just 51-65 (.440) at home since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

                  The Tigers are just 51-84 (.378) after a loss since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .481.

                  The Royals are batting just .194 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.

                  The Royals have a winning percentage of just 26% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

                  The Royals have a winning percentage of just 27% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

                  The Royals have won just 42% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

                  Tigers hitters are slugging just .340 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.

                  Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .616 (2,694 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .691.

                  Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .285 (6,518 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

                  Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .642 (8,586 PA’s) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.

                  The Royals have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

                  The Royals have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

                  The Royals have won just 14% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

                  Royals pitchers have allowed a run 37% of the time after an opposing score since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

                  The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

                  Opponents have a groundball batting average of .315 against Tigers pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .258.

                  Tigers pitchers have walked 205 of 2,697 batters (8%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

                  Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

                  Tigers vs. Royals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

                     

                    • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
                    • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
                    • Riley Greene (Tigers): Fibula, D10
                    • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
                    • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
                    • Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Finger, D15
                    • Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D60
                    • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
                    • Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
                    • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
                    • Eduardo Rodriguez (Tigers): Finger, D10
                    • Akil Baddoo (Tigers): Quad, D10

                     

                         

                        • Amir Garrett (Royals): Elbow, D15
                        • Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
                        • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
                        • Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
                        • Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
                        • Michael Massey (Royals): Hand, D10
                        • Matthew Beaty (Royals): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
                        • Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
                        • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
                        • Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
                        • Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
                        • Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
                        • Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D15

                         


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                          Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

                          Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.